Zachary Vrhovsek

Publications récentes

{"id":"RP-2425-023-S","is_published":"2024-12-12T13:57:07.000000Z","release_date":"2024-12-12T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Federal Spending on Housing Affordability in 2024","title_fr":"D\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales ax\u00e9es sur l\u2019abordabilit\u00e9 du logement en 2024","internal_id":"RP-2425-023-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides an overview of federal spending and progress towards meeting the overall target of Canada\u2019s National Housing Strategy. This report was written in response to interest from Parliamentarians and the House of Commons Standing Committee on Human Resources, Skills and Social Development and the Status of Persons with Disabilities.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport donne un aper\u00e7u des d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales et des progr\u00e8s r\u00e9alis\u00e9s pour atteindre la cible g\u00e9n\u00e9rale de la Strat\u00e9gie nationale sur le logement du Canada. Il a \u00e9t\u00e9 r\u00e9dig\u00e9 pour r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat des d\u00e9put\u00e9s et du Comit\u00e9 permanent des ressources humaines, du d\u00e9veloppement des comp\u00e9tences, du d\u00e9veloppement social et de la condition des personnes handicap\u00e9es de la Chambre des communes.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Spending on programs to address housing affordability averages $6.1 billion annually over the term of Canada\u2019s 10-year National Housing Strategy (NHS). This represents a 50% increase in the purchasing power of federal spending compared with the prior 10 years.","fr":"Sur la p\u00e9riode de 10 ans vis\u00e9e par la Strat\u00e9gie nationale sur le logement (SNL) du Canada, les d\u00e9penses sur des programmes ax\u00e9s sur l\u2019abordabilit\u00e9 du logement se chiffrent en moyenne \u00e0 6,1 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e. Ce montant repr\u00e9sente une hausse de 50 % du pouvoir d\u2019achat des d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales par rapport aux 10 ann\u00e9es pr\u00e9c\u00e9dentes."}},{"content":{"en":"Additional program spending has been primarily allocated to the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporations\u2019 Financing for Housing programs, which received a $1.3 billion per annum increase in funding.","fr":"D\u2019autres d\u00e9penses de programmes ont \u00e9t\u00e9 principalement affect\u00e9es aux programmes de financement du logement de la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d\u2019hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement (SCHL), qui a re\u00e7u une augmentation de financement de 1,3 milliard de dollars par ann\u00e9e."}},{"content":{"en":"Total spending on housing affordability is estimated to be $17.5 billion annually, with 65% attributable to tax expenditures.","fr":"Les d\u00e9penses totales ax\u00e9es sur l\u2019abordabilit\u00e9 du logement sont estim\u00e9es \u00e0 17,5 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e, dont 65 % sont attribuables \u00e0 des d\u00e9penses fiscales."}},{"content":{"en":"After accounting for the impact of all relevant federal policies, we project that 2.6 million households will be in housing need by 2027. This represents an increase of about 926,000 households in core housing need compared to the start of Canada\u2019s NHS in 2017.","fr":"Apr\u00e8s avoir pris en compte l\u2019incidence de toutes les politiques f\u00e9d\u00e9rales pertinentes, nous projetons que 2,6 millions de m\u00e9nages auront un besoin de logement d\u2019ici 2027. Cela repr\u00e9sente une augmentation d\u2019environ 926 000 m\u00e9nages ayant des besoins imp\u00e9rieux en mati\u00e8re de logement par rapport au d\u00e9but de la SNL du Canada en 2017."}},{"content":{"en":"Increasing core housing need is being driven by higher interest rates and the slow adjustment of the housing stock to higher immigration.","fr":"La hausse des besoins imp\u00e9rieux en mati\u00e8re de logement est dict\u00e9e par des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat plus \u00e9lev\u00e9s et le rajustement au ralenti des logements par rapport \u00e0 la hausse de l\u2019immigration."}},{"content":{"en":"Without the renewed federal spending to address housing affordability under Canada\u2019s NHS, there would be about 78,000 more households in core housing need by 2027.","fr":"Sans le renouvellement des d\u00e9penses f\u00e9d\u00e9rales relatives \u00e0 l\u2019abordabilit\u00e9 du logement en vertu de la SNL du Canada, environ 78 000 autres m\u00e9nages auraient des besoins imp\u00e9rieux en mati\u00e8re de logement d\u2019ici 2027."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-12-12T15:05:11.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-023-S--federal-spending-housing-affordability-in-2024--depenses-federales-axees-abordabilite-logement-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-023-S--federal-spending-housing-affordability-in-2024--depenses-federales-axees-abordabilite-logement-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-023-S--federal-spending-housing-affordability-in-2024--depenses-federales-axees-abordabilite-logement-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-023-S--federal-spending-housing-affordability-in-2024--depenses-federales-axees-abordabilite-logement-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-023-S--federal-spending-housing-affordability-in-2024--depenses-federales-axees-abordabilite-logement-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/f9197472898cda53bf0f0a6bbfd9df78d839b6ea85ca9e41ceedb6e801e1df09"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/85fe1f53511cbdf060a330b8605d5146940e9ffe78d4266450ef62c8824f088f"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bde040133787e147acdd76522bcb871a8833496b7e3ec98c157b02acfe183c39","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e76e7f4e58ae8f41e922befbef864abdbbb57db001343877e21b01a95f053a63","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bd53ad604c7ceed922f34d49901e19eedc17a0d05752a744ea17486388a2997c","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f76232f2c00ec490ae37487896a88314bcff137ba157336bb9ce34c79138fd36","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e4e7e9cda8f8eb21c90d14c71db1c2b5ff3e6b50692af3a336ff0d6b120e8210","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bbaf5cb1a0350340b8aee7265c15654363d549a2068f77a4e00669f27e5d7c08","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ff8d15b417887795677929e8dccba1d50dd779cd71600a2784666b6762861aa","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cb76e3bbe7f97507ced9461320c430d3517f096479862ae6f5811f199be84292"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c5b2b623842e1095e497b7439575a53cbc7bd9fb0a7f2cef34b0424d195d3eb3","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7659542cae0d26fb15215873f215b40f61f57ade70e99940f3ff7cf09e7f1304","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/550b4c1d082fd6cf7f1b049304c6bc7718cead95088d2c1011388a2610e9de0b","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/feba0ef7bfe949e6e1699f8806a72a3aab492763f163abef2f63985c96f2fd2c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5ce2f920edc7a668a4f7361b93660d2849653388581b4fb9a979dd50b62acf93","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b8a95e435cba45d5f4afb9d9e994fb68dc9c4605638d65f415439b6defc3006c","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/717cfd9a7e79f169fcf57141e8639f596afcc9c036f492099c18f2876041060d","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/30ad7c0d1c9c3dc77684cc0be6bc041af8a491d6cbaef54a83a16645da4c5754"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425023S,\n author={Segel-Brown, Ben and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Federal Spending on Housing Affordability in 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425023S,\n author={Segel-Brown, Ben and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={D\\\u0027{e}penses f\\\u0027{e}d\\\u0027{e}rales ax\\\u0027{e}es sur l\u2019abordabilit\\\u0027{e} du logement en 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2425-013-S","is_published":"2024-12-06T13:57:10.000000Z","release_date":"2024-12-06T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Cost estimate of alcohol excise duty relief - Update","title_fr":"Estimation des co\u00fbts li\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u0027all\u00e8gement du droit d\u0027accise sur l\u0027alcool - Mise \u00e0 jour","internal_id":"LEG-2425-013-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This note is an update to the cost estimate published on June 17, 2024, which contains a revision and improvement to the calculation of the breakdown of total cost between the different types of alcohol. It also incorporates more recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data and forecast which slightly reduces the total cost over five years. Lastly, it now provides a breakdown of the cost between foregone excise duty revenue and foregone GST revenue.","abstract_fr":"Cette note est une mise \u00e0 jour de l\u2019estimation des co\u00fbts publi\u00e9e le 17 juin 2024, qui contient une r\u00e9vision et une am\u00e9lioration du calcul de la r\u00e9partition du co\u00fbt total entre les diff\u00e9rents types d\u2019alcool. Elle int\u00e8gre \u00e9galement des donn\u00e9es et des pr\u00e9visions plus r\u00e9centes de l\u0027indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC) qui r\u00e9duisent l\u00e9g\u00e8rement le co\u00fbt total sur cinq ans. De plus, elle fournit d\u00e9sormais une ventilation du co\u00fbt entre les recettes de droits d\u0027accises et de TPS non per\u00e7ues.","highlights":[]},"updated_at":"2024-12-06T13:57:10.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2425-013-S--cost-estimate-alcohol-excise-duty-relief-update--estimation-couts-lies-allegement-droit-accise-alcool-mise-jour","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2425-013-S--cost-estimate-alcohol-excise-duty-relief-update--estimation-couts-lies-allegement-droit-accise-alcool-mise-jour","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2425-013-S--cost-estimate-alcohol-excise-duty-relief-update--estimation-couts-lies-allegement-droit-accise-alcool-mise-jour"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2425-013-S--cost-estimate-alcohol-excise-duty-relief-update--estimation-couts-lies-allegement-droit-accise-alcool-mise-jour","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2425-013-S--cost-estimate-alcohol-excise-duty-relief-update--estimation-couts-lies-allegement-droit-accise-alcool-mise-jour"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/60d0e86ec65876ad1764410a5fc6058b5b9bc90ad2cbeb8380b70361476ed9bc"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/8fa140f41299bffd7860722e19606366324b2c9f9b599ab49b612c52fc4ab655"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/da1fbfa5b9934adc7a139a835e4208a3d4b92d903bcd60a3e2324311513604ab","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/03bd5c799a3a409cb91f3af35e533440f5459a9a989b9ee1028ac3333016c4e1","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/42c12aa09382fd7363542d1c06a054de8520e3d270ca65bb08ce1e46104f61b9","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ab2de0fc50032001dd57e1d59576e08b25466ff7df91d3b45de4f5d5b86973b","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/65b8dc46ce489fa24d949e9c16fdfddb246cb3bf246b24d1080bb817b41d3ff5","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2f3cbe37c71e93deb444f15b439deddf46f62211cc1d66e10bb7e9552a71fcf3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8b2c3c6ef7de05ec1bc41eb8f36f89a51753c2d8c5f750c119ea0243527b8ba1","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/820c42c181c9201b490176f074d5d8ef7f90acc09697d0fbaca35cb9ff0daabd"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0f7ead8b99fcb17164ad559ffccedc6e30af1d4d5b847567e3bd7d050ea117e8","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/91d2720bca049b7234d9c852ace6cb097d830651d0f5587a0ba3ea256a0d0003","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9d9856fc0b82b51ef2d2d1d4b08031f07d0482b83f8a00c13d2ff8026971485f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5e874b05c873b484b04baea31b78474ee13dcd4c79d7c13119ceb160de94b0ba","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3014611a19374f2887536be3e5d84c0ec8240d9cd98fc597ec4453cf13ebee7b","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/183a459541290638460e554e95cd5ecd92603e068be396d7ebc681832335c83d","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6ffe4b1b357f2bda3ba065ca78283b73dce22de75879a03263e2f580e57f7239","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/56525457a3dd1660603af2b1cacc8b243de10eaa5a7f775d1b85d96738220ce6"}}},"bills":[{"id":558,"created_at":"2024-05-02T14:00:07-04:00","updated_at":"2024-12-06T08:57:15-05:00","legisid":"44_1_C-69","parliament":44,"session":1,"prefix":"C","number":69,"title_en":"An Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on April 16, 2024","title_fr":"Loi portant ex\u00e9cution de certaines dispositions du budget d\u00e9pos\u00e9 au Parlement le 16 avril 2024","bill_num":"C-69","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/bills--projets-de-loi\/44-1\/C-69","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/legisinfo\/en\/bill\/44-1\/c-69"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/bills--projets-de-loi\/44-1\/C-69","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/LegisInfo\/fr\/projet-de-loi\/44-1\/c-69"}},"pivot":{"publication_id":833,"bill_id":558}}],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2425013S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Cost estimate of alcohol excise duty relief - Update},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2425013S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Estimation des couts li\\\u0027{e}s \\`{a} l\u0027all\\`{e}gement du droit d\u0027accise sur l\u0027alcool - Mise \\`{a} jour},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2425-018-S","is_published":"2024-10-17T12:57:02.000000Z","release_date":"2024-10-17T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 October 2024","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 octobre 2024","internal_id":"RP-2425-018-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport fournit une projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires possibles dans le cadre des politiques actuelles.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"PBO projects growth in the Canadian economy to remain tepid in 2024. Interest rates will continue to restrain growth in consumer spending and business investment. We expect real GDP growth will rebound to 2.2 per cent in 2025, as lower borrowing costs provide a boost to consumer spending and business investment, and exports pickup.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne demeurera modeste en 2024. Les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat continueront de freiner la croissance des d\u00e9penses de consommation et des investissements des entreprises. Nous nous attendons \u00e0 ce que la croissance du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) r\u00e9el rebondisse \u00e0 2,2 % en 2025, car la baisse des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunt stimule les d\u00e9penses de consommation et les investissements des entreprises, et encourage la reprise des exportations."}},{"content":{"en":"With the ongoing excess supply in the economy, consumer price index (CPI) inflation is on track to return to its 2 per cent target. We anticipate the Bank of Canada will continue to gradually reduce its policy rate until it reaches its estimated neutral level of 2.75 percent in the second quarter of 2025.","fr":"Compte tenu de l\u2019offre exc\u00e9dentaire persistante au sein de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, l\u2019inflation mesur\u00e9e par l\u2019Indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation est en voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible de 2 %. Nous pr\u00e9voyons que la Banque du Canada continuera de r\u00e9duire progressivement son taux directeur jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce qu\u2019il atteigne son niveau neutre estim\u00e9 \u00e0 2,75 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2025."}},{"content":{"en":"We estimate that there was a budgetary deficit of $46.8 billion (1.6 per cent of GDP) in 2023-24. For the current fiscal year, 2024-25, PBO projects the budgetary deficit to slightly decline to $46.4 billion (1.5 per cent of GDP) under status quo policy. Assuming no new measures are introduced, and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the deficit is projected to resume its downward trajectory, falling to $22.5 billion (0.6 per cent of GDP) in 2029-30.","fr":"Nous estimons qu\u2019il y avait un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 46,8 milliards de dollars (1,6 % du PIB) en 2023-2024. Pour l\u2019exercice financier en cours, soit 2024-2025, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire diminuera l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 46,4 milliards de dollars (1,5 % du PIB) dans le cadre d\u0027une politique de statu quo. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait revenir sur sa trajectoire descendante et passer \u00e0 22,5 milliards de dollars (0,6 % du PIB) en 2029-2030."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO expects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to be 42.2 per cent in 2023-24 and 2024-25. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 39.0 per cent in 2029-30, well above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019-20.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB restera \u00e0 42,2 % en 2024-2025. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait atteindre 39,0 % en 2029-2030, ce qui est bien sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to total revenues) to rise to 10.6 in 2024-25 from 10.3 per cent in 2023-24. As the effective interest rate on debt edges higher in 2024-25, we project the debt service ratio to increase further and reach 11.2 per cent in 2029-30\u2014well above its pre-pandemic record low of 7.0 per cent in 2018-19.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio du service de la dette (soit le rapport entre les frais de la dette publique et les recettes totales) passera \u00e0 10,6 % en 2024-2025, alors qu\u2019il s\u2019\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 10,3 % en 2023-2024. Comme le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat effectif sur la dette est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 en 2024-2025, nous pr\u00e9voyons que le ratio du service de la dette augmentera encore et qu\u2019il atteindra 11,2 % en 2029-2030, soit bien au dessus de son creux record de 7,0 % enregistr\u00e9 avant la pand\u00e9mie en 2018-2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-10-17T12:57:02.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/78ce079f881ed107be7389eca371c9c0b21752840065265538f30a75466327d0"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/17e763792632c01620f1be9013979a56278f652c6ac6c3bbbffdfa5c47ba76e7"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2227ae47016244d7fee6979ff55819dcb53a12859eb1cad58eda51e4e02693eb","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f6cc3cc16c055321966c155117bd8575a3b39b5a111db7d24b971fc55f4fae72","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d94c00f588acaf2837e7f7fe9a8074d6d18a092766ac0c0381446bb6bea46cbe","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/71a466f30c420eaa90bc7d53c42a853930242594d1e357e88c47619b3ec85f78","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5d029a2ada90cd0b8ad1e0ff0670fb2699006a85fa494976d25b358ca06e04b5","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40e014410224941454565d72f05e42781305917f04385a6f96fb9d73cf1f5b99","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0014eeb7527086482703320a87481ebaa58838710c878ba50e918d40eb36e001","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/27a7b5cf8a2a9d6030896935105ed5322d03659942d6302299f901dd4d5e7b58"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9cc31e3071cdd2ed8031d0508f7bc7c32f9d24e16c1a5716cc5036aec5d1e27e","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bfdd900a0556836b9c37ce2d272d4ab95b075b4f98e79a55f074bd172129b6a4","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3ef5173adc96a6755a37f3c3423399dc6cd7a0d0d73ad634770a2f17dea8cb04","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4319f07362f23fde8ef5e89ccdd7db90da89fb7088461604dbd28401aa679049","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/16b425b08a6ab3f885215e818f5651d3d1b0a01985d4a7504d6ef10bf16377f3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a4939d014cfac1a212b106edcb9bbf9c511a4b918191acdf339ca50675152ff8","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c8edc32eaeb43dd766d9732cc6bd78b5b41317afa461077c610a17a27d116b54","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/eb1d8dc3dfc3f1729604a2d931f6ee96539be90eac2b435efcc202ad1d019963"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and McGoey, Matthew and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary and Matier, Chris},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and McGoey, Matthew and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary and Matier, Chris},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - octobre 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2425-008-M","is_published":"2024-07-04T12:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2024-07-04T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"The Online Harms Act: Establishment of a Digital Safety Commission, Ombudsperson and Office","title_fr":"Loi sur les pr\u00e9judices en ligne : \u00c9tablissement de la Commission, de l\u2019ombudsman et du Bureau de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 num\u00e9rique","internal_id":"LEG-2425-008-M","metadata":{"abstract_en":"Preliminary estimates from the Department of Canadian Heritage indicate that the Digital Safety Commission, Ombudsperson and Office will have 330 full-time equivalent (FTE) employees at full capacity. The PBO estimates that from 2024-2025 to 2028-2029 the total operating costs will be $201 million, minus any possible administrative monetary penalties, fines and\/or regulatory charges collected by the Commission, Ombudsperson and Office.","abstract_fr":"Selon les estimations pr\u00e9liminaires du minist\u00e8re du Patrimoine canadien, la Commission, l\u2019ombudsman et le Bureau de la s\u00e9curit\u00e9 num\u00e9rique compteront, \u00e0 pleine capacit\u00e9, 330 \u00e9quivalents temps plein (ETP). Le DPB estime que, de 2024-2025 \u00e0 2028-2029, les co\u00fbts de fonctionnement totaux des trois entit\u00e9s seront de 201 millions de dollars, moins les \u00e9ventuelles sanctions administratives p\u00e9cuniaires, amendes et\/ou frais r\u00e9glementaire per\u00e7ues par la Commission, l\u2019ombudsman et 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Act to enact the Online Harms Act, to amend the Criminal Code, the Canadian Human Rights Act and An Act respecting the mandatory reporting of Internet child pornography by persons who provide an Internet service and to make consequential and related amendments to other Acts","title_fr":"Loi \u00e9dictant la Loi sur les pr\u00e9judices en ligne, modifiant le Code criminel, la Loi canadienne sur les droits de la personne et la Loi concernant la d\u00e9claration obligatoire de la pornographie juv\u00e9nile sur Internet par les personnes qui fournissent des services Internet et apportant des modifications corr\u00e9latives et connexes \u00e0 d\u0027autres 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budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2425-005-S","is_published":"2024-05-22T12:57:08.000000Z","release_date":"2024-05-22T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance for Eligible New Purpose-built Rental Housing","title_fr":"D\u00e9duction pour amortissement acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 pour les nouveaux logements admissibles destin\u00e9s \u00e0 la location","internal_id":"LEG-2425-005-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"The accelerated capital cost allowance increases the maximum allowable rate of depreciation from 4 per cent to 10 per cent on eligible new purpose-built rental housing. Eligible properties must contain at least four private apartment units (or 10 private rooms); and at least 90 per cent of residential units must be held for long-term rental. To qualify, construction must begin after April 15, 2024, and be completed before January 1, 2036.\n\n*Revised: 2024-05-22 02:15 PM*","abstract_fr":"La d\u00e9duction pour amortissement acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9 fait passer le taux d\u2019amortissement admissible maximal de 4 \u00e0 10 pour cent pour les nouveaux logements admissibles destin\u00e9s \u00e0 la location. Les immeubles admissibles doivent comporter au moins quatre appartements priv\u00e9s (ou dix chambres priv\u00e9es) et au moins 90 % des logements doivent \u00eatre destin\u00e9s \u00e0 la location \u00e0 long terme. Aux fins de l\u2019admissibilit\u00e9, la construction doit commencer apr\u00e8s le 15 avril 2024 et \u00eatre achev\u00e9e avant le 1er janvier 2036.\n\n*R\u00e9vis\u00e9e: 2024-05-22 14:15*","highlights":[]},"updated_at":"2024-05-22T18:19:34.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2425-005-S--accelerated-capital-cost-allowance-eligible-new-purpose-built-rental-housing--deduction-amortissement-accelere-nouveaux-logements-admissibles-destines-location","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2425-005-S--accelerated-capital-cost-allowance-eligible-new-purpose-built-rental-housing--deduction-amortissement-accelere-nouveaux-logements-admissibles-destines-location","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2425-005-S--accelerated-capital-cost-allowance-eligible-new-purpose-built-rental-housing--deduction-amortissement-accelere-nouveaux-logements-admissibles-destines-location"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2425-005-S--accelerated-capital-cost-allowance-eligible-new-purpose-built-rental-housing--deduction-amortissement-accelere-nouveaux-logements-admissibles-destines-location","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2425-005-S--accelerated-capital-cost-allowance-eligible-new-purpose-built-rental-housing--deduction-amortissement-accelere-nouveaux-logements-admissibles-destines-location"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/48db7d437e4aa345204f60adc9fe87651ca03e33b6184d378857198d88722579"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/3365e2298e5da70d90c5d1eed712224612ec0466e7979f615b0dfa5eabc12a32"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5510d6139e3fc8fc077a5cd8279afa75a132d2d1909273aa6eb4f63f3bbbbbfe","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/241c70416bf0e3b78381c91aaf992a8250ac0625f753b29c4216580625be79ba","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ea79f1921d5000b9aa2a844db205814a2c5671cdd98cbbab4c2c8ccd0b322830","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d9f94c2e2a287ccc456cc4810562697801bbf4d829d1bf4fa837fa9d5f95b819","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a1fcc1c242f5a644b0b3afde31d0cc5fa6cbb4321c830a2aec7c204b36a9db7d","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ac419c3eb2b480e87b56cd9c79f2c851f404c41e9ba361b355c0a22f22703d3e","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cd55e409ccfbed37d2f5a0b701266dcffc43d37adf5a171e6d1902ad89efae7f","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e55478e91e1df7c18841ee70c46eaa83a65ddc4663e045712804e29424f2b140"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5a09971f6b8feb9de5d4d25dcdb85afeafaf267c97249e13512f32322423c45d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b94d9027ccb4805868cdf9081be7d5c21400aaeef681df352d85d01bfed2279b","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cd12658e2e61f39a0df8200d2ebafdb6c393be72bd6854e4ca9beae91053c0a7","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/29a19643f9c32a1acec28bd8bc32230a8c308a1da1d08231c9d7b8b7eb62ffb8","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d2f55ebe845ec7583d5f28cbacb52c35cd1b736ffeda7b3428b82d3769636fd3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/258802fea6c7720c867a7dc2ede2aad4304f9664d4ce736f6441f024f8e74383","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/742a77c64e80d84100bc02c18be78b18236fa2e8c08cf638e41d23ce53407149","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/55857bb9cc6678cdc31a0e3a86c9fb0f3a7f3f99339adf13caa2248e2e00ea34"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2425005S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Accelerated Capital Cost Allowance for Eligible New Purpose-built Rental Housing},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2425005S,\n author={Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={D\\\u0027{e}duction pour amortissement acc\\\u0027{e}l\\\u0027{e}r\\\u0027{e} pour les nouveaux logements admissibles destin\\\u0027{e}s \\`{a} la location},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2425-001-S","is_published":"2024-04-11T12:57:03.000000Z","release_date":"2024-04-11T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Household Formation and the Housing Stock","title_fr":"La formation de m\u00e9nages et le stock de logements","internal_id":"RP-2425-001-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides estimates of household formation and the housing stock in Canada. The report also provides an estimate of the housing gap at the national level based on the total vacancy rate.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport pr\u00e9sente des estimations de la formation de m\u00e9nages et du stock de logements au Canada. On y trouve aussi une estimation de l\u2019\u00e9cart de l\u2019offre de logements \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9chelle nationale en fonction du taux d\u2019inoccupation total.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates suggest that household formation surged above pre-pandemic levels, reaching 460,000 (net) new households in 2023\u2014well in excess of record net housing completions of 242,000 units.","fr":"Les estimations du DPB indiquent que la formation de m\u00e9nage a d\u00e9pass\u00e9 ses niveaux d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 460\u2009000 (net) nouveaux m\u00e9nages en 2023, beaucoup plus que le nombre net d\u2019habitations achev\u00e9es record de 242\u2009000 unit\u00e9s."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that suppressed household formation in Canada amounted to 631,000 households in 2021. That is, the number of households in 2021 in Canada would have been 631,000 (4.1 per cent) higher if attainable housing options had existed.","fr":"Le DPB estime que la non-formation de m\u00e9nages au Canada s\u2019\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 631\u2009000 m\u00e9nages en 2021. Autrement dit, le nombre de m\u00e9nages en 2021 au Canada aurait compt\u00e9 631\u2009000 m\u00e9nages (4,1 %) de plus si des options de logement accessibles avaient exist\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on PBO estimates, the total vacancy rate in Canada (the number of vacant units, for sale or rent, relative to the housing stock) reached a record low of 5.1 per cent in 2023\u20141.8 percentage points below its 2000-2019 average of 6.9 per cent.","fr":"Selon les estimations du DPB, le taux d\u2019inoccupation total au Canada (le nombre de logements vacants, \u00e0 vendre ou \u00e0 louer par rapport au stock total de logements) a atteint un creux record de 5,1 % en 2023, soit 1,8 point de pourcentage de moins que sa moyenne de 6,9 % de 2000 \u00e0 2019."}},{"content":{"en":"Under PBO\u2019s status quo baseline outlook, over 2024 to 2030, household formation outpaces net completions (272,000 households versus 255,000 units annually, on average). This imbalance pushes the total vacancy rate lower to 3.9 per cent in 2025, before stabilizing at around 4.0 per cent by 2030.","fr":"Selon les perspectives de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du statu quo du DPB, de 2024 \u00e0 2030, la formation de m\u00e9nages prend une avance consid\u00e9rable sur le nombre net d\u2019habitations achev\u00e9es (272\u2009000 m\u00e9nages contre 255\u2009000 logements annuellement en moyenne). Ce d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibre donne lieu \u00e0 une baisse du taux d\u2019inoccupation total, qui s\u2019\u00e9tablira \u00e0 3,9 % en 2025 avant de se stabiliser \u00e0 4,0 % environ d\u2019ici 2030."}},{"content":{"en":"Relative to PBO\u2019s baseline outlook, 1.3 million additional units\u2014181,000 annually, on average\u2014would need to be completed by 2030 to eliminate Canada\u2019s housing gap, accounting for suppressed household formation.","fr":"Par rapport aux perspectives de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence du DPB, il faudrait construire 1,3 million de logements additionnels, soit 181\u2009000 par ann\u00e9e en moyenne, d\u2019ici 2030 afin d\u2019\u00e9liminer l\u2019\u00e9cart de l\u2019offre de logement du Canada, en tenant compte de la non-formation de m\u00e9nages."}},{"content":{"en":"Combined with the baseline outlook for completions, closing the housing gap in Canada would result in 3.1 million net housing units completed by 2030, which translates into 436,000 units completed annually, on average, over 2024 to 2030.","fr":"Conjugu\u00e9e aux perspectives de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence en ce qui concerne le nombre d\u2019habitations achev\u00e9es, l\u2019\u00e9limination de l\u2019\u00e9cart de l\u2019offre de logements au Canada n\u00e9cessiterait l\u2019ach\u00e8vement net de 3,1 millions de logements d\u2019ici 2030, ce qui est \u00e9quivalent \u00e0 l\u2019ach\u00e8vement de 436\u2009000 logements par ann\u00e9e en moyenne de 2024 \u00e0 2030."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-04-11T15:03:15.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-001-S--household-formation-housing-stock--formation-menages-stock-logements","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-001-S--household-formation-housing-stock--formation-menages-stock-logements","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-001-S--household-formation-housing-stock--formation-menages-stock-logements"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-001-S--household-formation-housing-stock--formation-menages-stock-logements","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-001-S--household-formation-housing-stock--formation-menages-stock-logements"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/72373cf7d223df67d5884cc755f9669690804b177e4b990fd4ea1217cbc36dee"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/0b8774d1a1ccd8eae2a3673a5372e39cffd69ca1875c5e56bc0fff54dcdd30e6"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/41bc94bda22afc21718a0fa6d7142ee322835d295620575263263ca7f2267242","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/12055e9737b5b9205dfe1d619c8f0376e6941d1c4e849866bdb3ad60cba403f2","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4f115224ffb1a87b9a7e7dfe6da331ded286428cbdd2456f603c9611f0d3ba5a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/518a0cfad9f6e0ec174d93dcfb678646db64c58b0b6f4bb08fbabfc984c8206b","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/092581180c2c77239d5124ce94262587c3176e77020725212515bd00d0737393","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/20568c0d39c7dbd88b5732ddd858bad9630c34c4b69ad3f82a76dc20182dae84","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5818c05d8ebe502b61467064ad59735cf97e66a06da0e994eb8e3773ea2b8b86","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/145f3d422052650c68f01638fa93a5b6d3a9552e933204e9e979417776c0f291"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f45664688b790555b1e6dcb9c64d1028cda76c47554857a3df3bf6f1aa514a5d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d9487d30a58cb7628257589a639b7f2e3ee0d40383a7565e86b5a1148f21c40b","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9be181c06c78b6bb76fce31a4a3f05b4fb02d20a8dfbb676a9d3118ad7629f36","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c9634f8d5cc99815c944c86b4964e8e7c50cd90fd5a78a0f05dfbbe1cd90518e","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/155a3b16a247fc3fc57c43cefcda9c3f5dfc508be72b604dfe3d9d5010f42b10","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/603e11cf579e0953235aa0d51c759fb8997e1973cb79af39fed55e8f30ef265b","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ff197fcfb0c2db4bed0f89b30fbcf76db7e6077ed80e341e3fb66e4c5a72c33e","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40fe8d509cc0f16e663859a0593fe61b9132cb467134496c552a62a4b195a4ed"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425001S,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Household Formation and the Housing Stock},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425001S,\n author={Nicol, Caroline and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={La formation de m\\\u0027{e}nages et le stock de logements},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2324-027-S","is_published":"2024-03-05T13:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2024-03-05T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2014 March 2024","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2014 Mars 2024","internal_id":"RP-2324-027-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport fournit une projection de base pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires potentiels dans le contexte actuel des politiques.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) projects growth in the Canadian economy to remain sluggish through 2024. Restrictive monetary policy is expected to restrain growth in consumer spending in the first half of the year and to dampen residential investment over the course of this year. Inventory investment is projected to subtract from growth as businesses pullback on their stock building.","fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne demeure l\u00e9thargique tout au long de 2024. La politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive devrait limiter la croissance des d\u00e9penses de consommation au cours de la premi\u00e8re moiti\u00e9 de l\u2019ann\u00e9e et freiner l\u2019investissement r\u00e9sidentiel tout au long de celle-ci. L\u2019investissement en stocks devrait freiner la croissance \u00e0 mesure que les entreprises reculent dans la constitution de leurs stocks."}},{"content":{"en":"As excess supply in the economy increases and commodity prices continue to weaken, PBO projects that Consumer price index (CPI) inflation will return to its 2 per cent target by the end of 2024. With CPI inflation on track to return to target later this year, we continue to expect the Bank of Canada to start lowering its policy rate in April.","fr":"Avec l\u2019augmentation de l\u2019offre exc\u00e9dentaire dans l\u2019\u00e9conomie et la baisse des prix des produits de base, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que l\u2019inflation de l\u2019indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC) reviendra \u00e0 sa cible de 2 % d\u2019ici la fin de 2024. L\u2019inflation de l\u2019IPC \u00e9tant en bonne voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible plus tard cette ann\u00e9e, nous nous attendons toujours \u00e0 ce que la Banque du Canada commence \u00e0 baisser son taux directeur en avril."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the budgetary deficit to rise to $46.8 billion (1.6 per cent of the Gross domestic product (GDP)) in 2023-24 from the $35.3 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) deficit recorded in 2022\u201123. Assuming no new measures are introduced, and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the deficit is projected to resume its downward trajectory, falling to $16.9 billion (0.5 per cent of GDP) in 2028-29.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire augmente \u00e0 46,8 milliards de dollars (1,6 % du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB)) en 2023-2024 par rapport au d\u00e9ficit de 35,3 milliards de dollars (1,3 % du PIB) enregistr\u00e9 en 2022-2023. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait revenir sur sa trajectoire descendante et passer \u00e0 16,9 milliards de dollars (0,5 % du PIB) en 2028-2029."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to increase from its 2022-23 level of 41.7 per cent, reaching 42.4 per cent in 2023\u201124 and 42.5 per cent in 2024\u201125. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 39.2 per cent in 2028\u201129 but remain well above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019\u201120.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB augmente par rapport \u00e0 son niveau de 41,7 % en 2022-2023 pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 42,4 % en 2023-2024 et 42,5 % en 2024-2025. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait atteindre 39,2 % en 2028\u20112029, mais rester sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to total revenues) to rise from 7.8 per cent in 2022\u201123 to 10.2 per cent in 2023\u201124. As the effective interest rate on debt edges higher in 2024\u201125, we project the debt service ratio to increase further and average 10.7 per cent through 2028\u201129\u2014well above its pre-pandemic record low of 7.0 per cent in 2018-19.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le ratio du service de la dette (c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les frais de la dette publique par rapport aux recettes totales) augmente, passant de 7,8 % en 2022-2023 \u00e0 10,2 % en 2023-2024. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 que le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat effectif sur la dette sera plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 en 2024-2025, nous nous attendons \u00e0 ce que le ratio du service de la dette augmente encore et s\u2019\u00e9tablisse \u00e0 10,7 % en moyenne jusqu\u2019en 2028-2029, bien au-dessus du niveau plancher pr\u00e9pand\u00e9mique de 7,0 % en 2018-2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-03-05T13:57:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/592b2821b72a722d94c7e2ec550869247372b74075bbba84f38f09c8b398fce9"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c4cdb97a9afd883daa9e3d3e5391752c1a3def1a44039e6ae978ac84625ab38"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06095f19ca30d6fc8a62e52d7c5a64f0b9c5aa6910c3c18996b34405155b6077","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/193cee6e59ff94014ee8cde3ef61c938752076572e540ed663955de3dd4d4253","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/333d8b06ff001133abd4a56b5d354ce264bb556a0084a4f3920ee4eff8d9489c","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ccdbba14afda98a8df3c8e1228b3605e6aa2c8b67096d0e2919fd593a7535eab","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2a83fb90de2a7d96a541a581e66b63da3d200e81f92b280d7e66a73ce06ab7ea","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2634b3c2c427a0819236effc902f3b958ea661c6d9bdf202154e68a836e7f7f5","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3076bacb621066bf6486b3c84dfce44e410ccf761d848121d3983861487a7744","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/57aee2ca666b3496b4b887b4b6b374f872c8c6aabe9241457dbdab9ccca1372e"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/90f20a17fafa029f686260ced14140337e6f2188e8b1f3599b30eaf25ca5906d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c7bc398e2aac825d14c45c527125d0cbfa48fe76dd9ea7263985db5829b94e8c","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/47329158fe8dc39c56ae28a48ce0a82834432f9f7951cf313c1b33f030b21b8f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5dbaa3fe6b3a25c0c1f221ed7b11ef344a2c3e9690ef34db402122a50ff7a5f9","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/07544b6965ecbc93e866d9f5a34d45c70a4fe919ce66bbca45aae402b6a4b775","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f445fff1f4395e5a7bc05d3de9a0e4e4646d059d2a37f8d2c3956b3f773efc1c","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc356e5be4e13ddaabf1c4d9a171b8407b4324294f84713134e868c1c8ef09d1","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6170b6fec1a23dedf88a5b804769aac1fae2ac0ec854b39e516b78aed786e9f6"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324027S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Scholz, Tim and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook \\textemdash March 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324027S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Scholz, Tim and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res \\textemdash Mars 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2324-020-S","is_published":"2024-01-18T13:57:06.000000Z","release_date":"2024-01-18T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Enhancements to the Oil to Heat Pump Affordability program","title_fr":"Am\u00e9liorations apport\u00e9es au Programme pour la conversion abordable du mazout \u00e0 la thermopompe","internal_id":"LEG-2324-020-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"From March 2023 to October 2023, the OHPA program offered eligible households a grant of up to $10,000 toward the cost of a qualified heat pump. After October 2023 and until March 2027, the enhanced OHPA program offers eligible households in co-delivery provinces a federal grant of up to $15,000, supplementary provincial grants, and a one-time bonus payment of $250.","abstract_fr":"De mars \u00e0 octobre 2023, le PCAMT a offert aux m\u00e9nages admissibles une subvention pouvant atteindre 10 000 $ pour le co\u00fbt d\u0027une thermopompe admissible. Depuis octobre 2023 et jusqu\u2019en mars 2027, le PCAMT am\u00e9lior\u00e9 offrira une subvention f\u00e9d\u00e9rale allant jusqu\u2019\u00e0 15 000 $, des subventions provinciales suppl\u00e9mentaires et une prime unique de 250 $ aux m\u00e9nages admissibles des provinces ayant conclu une entente de prestation conjointe.","highlights":[]},"updated_at":"2024-01-18T13:57:06.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2324-020-S--enhancements-oil-heat-pump-affordability-program--ameliorations-apportees-programme-conversion-abordable-mazout-thermopompe","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2324-020-S--enhancements-oil-heat-pump-affordability-program--ameliorations-apportees-programme-conversion-abordable-mazout-thermopompe","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2324-020-S--enhancements-oil-heat-pump-affordability-program--ameliorations-apportees-programme-conversion-abordable-mazout-thermopompe"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2324-020-S--enhancements-oil-heat-pump-affordability-program--ameliorations-apportees-programme-conversion-abordable-mazout-thermopompe","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2324-020-S--enhancements-oil-heat-pump-affordability-program--ameliorations-apportees-programme-conversion-abordable-mazout-thermopompe"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/942f39cf8e05746d52a08109741123fd4c6c00a6df9b06aee5ca4c05c99a030c"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/f5fd3e513feea242b67f0c9b349ce5c67261500fb3176936646840b8e8d53ef2"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b9e21b88b2e10ee2fef8e9410ccb049b809b796d63aa766672a9f422a29b54ce","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fb7023b405870239222611a5bdefe9615423b5d8696ef7996567e1a2c23ad98b","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/97536e9502c645cef2039effb4ac52b3b086c8a77f8b79755e97ea53aee3c991","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6b214ea10580daef78b981694544883a31c6ed66695f41847d059faf5e0eb2ee","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ef69e74218e4654366341421dad9ac485b581ae0887b785ef394eda9adf82433","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dbd238342791ff7faab1b4004925488be859289447c578185f00edefb7db0a59","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0aab33dea99092e87242b7a2d06b0db3fb4212d20368f185bf6bb32c33ce41c9","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7498f48d06d1c7173f16a6b99fc1baa1944b2c4dc9df4c70db9377f7334993e9"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4ea865f1a16b86219a5df640216867ed33d33fe768f30ab40dbc4a754d13a189","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e380f9ef3f5ef4a904f7573150521dfb509b5261f7d914865c594f5ed9bf318a","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a24650c69e9ec4c6b99c036f9b876a9f9cc4ad0656583c55adbb5c2f12ca74d0","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/13585b278b7eba24ae69845fcf2222a4f7182b8c9b29c4d6582d2c6ce5e6d74a","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4ef9e64b505d10e03e114773dc4d5cbb6fa916ea7255ac2afd1e223f78a07051","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ab41024bdb80f6b0dc20101bd0a96d229e989b69497b89cf92fed8beae33e7f7","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/661c82bbf466efd05c213ffcbafa11dfba18375f129a108e2b8768ae42929ed9","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/24d5b1b90d919272f967f0216271fa6ef30db61d010a9a9a456607e90ee7cb52"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2324020S,\n author={Scholz, Tim and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Enhancements to the Oil to Heat Pump Affordability program},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2324020S,\n author={Scholz, Tim and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Am\\\u0027{e}liorations apport\\\u0027{e}es au Programme pour la conversion abordable du mazout \\`{a} la thermopompe},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}