Mark Creighton

Latest publications

{"id":"RP-2425-022-S","is_published":"2024-11-20T13:57:06.000000Z","release_date":"2024-11-20T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Supplementary Estimates (B) 2024-25","title_fr":"Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses (B) 2024-2025","internal_id":"RP-2425-022-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a detailed analysis of the Government\u2019s second Supplementary Estimates for the 2024-25 fiscal year, which seeks Parliament\u2019s approval of $21.6 billion.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport pr\u00e9sente une analyse d\u00e9taill\u00e9e du deuxi\u00e8me Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses du gouvernement pour l\u2019exercice 2024-2025, dans lequel ce dernier demande au Parlement d\u2019approuver des d\u00e9penses de 21,6 milliards de dollars.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"These Supplementary Estimates outline an additional $24.8 billion in budgetary authorities. Parliament\u2019s approval is required for $21.6 billion.","fr":"Ce Budget suppl\u00e9mentaire des d\u00e9penses pr\u00e9sente des autorisations budg\u00e9taires suppl\u00e9mentaires de 24,8 milliards de dollars. Le Parlement doit ainsi approuver des d\u00e9penses de l\u2019ordre de 21,6 milliards de dollars."}},{"content":{"en":"Roughly one quarter of proposed budgetary authorities ($6.4 billion) is related to 143 Budget 2024 measures.","fr":"Le quart environ des autorisations budg\u00e9taires propos\u00e9es (6,4 milliards de dollars) sont li\u00e9es \u00e0 143 mesures du budget de 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"Major areas of planned spending include Indigenous-related programs and claims, military procurement and support, and personnel.","fr":"Les principaux secteurs de d\u00e9penses pr\u00e9vues sont les programmes et les revendications li\u00e9s aux Autochtones; l\u2019approvisionnement et le soutien militaires; et le personnel."}},{"content":{"en":"Parliamentarians have approximately three weeks from tabling to approve the Government\u2019s financial request.","fr":"Les parlementaires disposent d\u2019environ trois semaines \u00e0 la suite du d\u00e9p\u00f4t pour approuver la demande financi\u00e8re du gouvernement."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-11-20T13:57:06.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-022-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2024-25--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2024-2025","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-022-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2024-25--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2024-2025","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-022-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2024-25--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2024-2025"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-022-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2024-25--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2024-2025","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-022-S--supplementary-estimates-b-2024-25--budget-supplementaire-depenses-b-2024-2025"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/ffe713311ffc8d98fcd775fad76a2072a008884eda2b81d12c0af63b6bee647d"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/8488d1442520fa8f83382adae96d1384122483e49ae83749ee47c0cd008fdb99"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a8ce59a2fdc6cb18b338069f7a8480c748ad64939ca0e539bbcb7207dd328076","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ccb80855ebb642875d815b0a3a24df47f2fb2857d758c099d86bd2bd12ed8b51","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fb3554cee48d19247fa5149234ad50ecfa7e4e36892fe1a5bb832155daae980a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/61676da07a16ba2d2c138aa302d53dfff8f470649763022af3ebc12c9c5d2498","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ea0790fa4919c85da98b01970d2fefbd63b4312c19a7730a7f7b99756988b475","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dadb1488be6dfcd582aca0b358e327dbb3758553d10ecb7a86c0a6185d1c4926","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bcaca9ce639fce1c6bdfbbe4541860aa3e6bff5ca332519b9ba305f529f45a77","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a35fa8a00c7abdca996d4fac15cf634cf087a1eec1bcf0f88922d19a2392b9e8"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1f785e6ac211451bcbcce86bb120d1e32df9619652bc199b25a6a5d6b607343b","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fc70885b028a0e34550e8a29a8884b2b3f25b98bbec4009e2ebbbadf5acc3685","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/66e000314a2985a1ccc27e1eef55479dc595c94171946ec2b32079dfa98d2bb3","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/09a3a4a507667aa0985c9066c70c494bdf5be79cfbcef2a4afa49541e52eb32f","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6f96dfa901fd9b9764c6b6e197af7bfd6ad8fea41ba035ae9da3afdbc744c723","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3c5cd8a49354f098d13971083aa4c8e94d26c83f67016260f901828faa0a503c","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/90d1869faf972fcc9191edb43c4cb875e70de89dd8296b005731e7fb510ed3a0","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3768b0966306cf18aa9358b841297653d78cc3b4776069bd63ac1f90d4fcca9c"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425022S,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Giswold, Jill},\n title={Supplementary Estimates (B) 2024-25},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425022S,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Giswold, Jill},\n title={Budget suppl\\\u0027{e}mentaire des d\\\u0027{e}penses (B) 2024-2025},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2425-018-S","is_published":"2024-10-17T12:57:02.000000Z","release_date":"2024-10-17T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 October 2024","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 octobre 2024","internal_id":"RP-2425-018-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport fournit une projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires possibles dans le cadre des politiques actuelles.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"PBO projects growth in the Canadian economy to remain tepid in 2024. Interest rates will continue to restrain growth in consumer spending and business investment. We expect real GDP growth will rebound to 2.2 per cent in 2025, as lower borrowing costs provide a boost to consumer spending and business investment, and exports pickup.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne demeurera modeste en 2024. Les taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat continueront de freiner la croissance des d\u00e9penses de consommation et des investissements des entreprises. Nous nous attendons \u00e0 ce que la croissance du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) r\u00e9el rebondisse \u00e0 2,2 % en 2025, car la baisse des co\u00fbts d\u2019emprunt stimule les d\u00e9penses de consommation et les investissements des entreprises, et encourage la reprise des exportations."}},{"content":{"en":"With the ongoing excess supply in the economy, consumer price index (CPI) inflation is on track to return to its 2 per cent target. We anticipate the Bank of Canada will continue to gradually reduce its policy rate until it reaches its estimated neutral level of 2.75 percent in the second quarter of 2025.","fr":"Compte tenu de l\u2019offre exc\u00e9dentaire persistante au sein de l\u2019\u00e9conomie, l\u2019inflation mesur\u00e9e par l\u2019Indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation est en voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible de 2 %. Nous pr\u00e9voyons que la Banque du Canada continuera de r\u00e9duire progressivement son taux directeur jusqu\u2019\u00e0 ce qu\u2019il atteigne son niveau neutre estim\u00e9 \u00e0 2,75 % au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre de 2025."}},{"content":{"en":"We estimate that there was a budgetary deficit of $46.8 billion (1.6 per cent of GDP) in 2023-24. For the current fiscal year, 2024-25, PBO projects the budgetary deficit to slightly decline to $46.4 billion (1.5 per cent of GDP) under status quo policy. Assuming no new measures are introduced, and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the deficit is projected to resume its downward trajectory, falling to $22.5 billion (0.6 per cent of GDP) in 2029-30.","fr":"Nous estimons qu\u2019il y avait un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 46,8 milliards de dollars (1,6 % du PIB) en 2023-2024. Pour l\u2019exercice financier en cours, soit 2024-2025, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire diminuera l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 46,4 milliards de dollars (1,5 % du PIB) dans le cadre d\u0027une politique de statu quo. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait revenir sur sa trajectoire descendante et passer \u00e0 22,5 milliards de dollars (0,6 % du PIB) en 2029-2030."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO expects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to be 42.2 per cent in 2023-24 and 2024-25. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 39.0 per cent in 2029-30, well above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019-20.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB restera \u00e0 42,2 % en 2024-2025. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait atteindre 39,0 % en 2029-2030, ce qui est bien sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to total revenues) to rise to 10.6 in 2024-25 from 10.3 per cent in 2023-24. As the effective interest rate on debt edges higher in 2024-25, we project the debt service ratio to increase further and reach 11.2 per cent in 2029-30\u2014well above its pre-pandemic record low of 7.0 per cent in 2018-19.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio du service de la dette (soit le rapport entre les frais de la dette publique et les recettes totales) passera \u00e0 10,6 % en 2024-2025, alors qu\u2019il s\u2019\u00e9tablissait \u00e0 10,3 % en 2023-2024. Comme le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat effectif sur la dette est l\u00e9g\u00e8rement plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 en 2024-2025, nous pr\u00e9voyons que le ratio du service de la dette augmentera encore et qu\u2019il atteindra 11,2 % en 2029-2030, soit bien au dessus de son creux record de 7,0 % enregistr\u00e9 avant la pand\u00e9mie en 2018-2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-10-17T12:57:02.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/78ce079f881ed107be7389eca371c9c0b21752840065265538f30a75466327d0"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/17e763792632c01620f1be9013979a56278f652c6ac6c3bbbffdfa5c47ba76e7"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2227ae47016244d7fee6979ff55819dcb53a12859eb1cad58eda51e4e02693eb","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f6cc3cc16c055321966c155117bd8575a3b39b5a111db7d24b971fc55f4fae72","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d94c00f588acaf2837e7f7fe9a8074d6d18a092766ac0c0381446bb6bea46cbe","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/71a466f30c420eaa90bc7d53c42a853930242594d1e357e88c47619b3ec85f78","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5d029a2ada90cd0b8ad1e0ff0670fb2699006a85fa494976d25b358ca06e04b5","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/40e014410224941454565d72f05e42781305917f04385a6f96fb9d73cf1f5b99","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0014eeb7527086482703320a87481ebaa58838710c878ba50e918d40eb36e001","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/27a7b5cf8a2a9d6030896935105ed5322d03659942d6302299f901dd4d5e7b58"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9cc31e3071cdd2ed8031d0508f7bc7c32f9d24e16c1a5716cc5036aec5d1e27e","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bfdd900a0556836b9c37ce2d272d4ab95b075b4f98e79a55f074bd172129b6a4","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3ef5173adc96a6755a37f3c3423399dc6cd7a0d0d73ad634770a2f17dea8cb04","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4319f07362f23fde8ef5e89ccdd7db90da89fb7088461604dbd28401aa679049","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/16b425b08a6ab3f885215e818f5651d3d1b0a01985d4a7504d6ef10bf16377f3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a4939d014cfac1a212b106edcb9bbf9c511a4b918191acdf339ca50675152ff8","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c8edc32eaeb43dd766d9732cc6bd78b5b41317afa461077c610a17a27d116b54","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/eb1d8dc3dfc3f1729604a2d931f6ee96539be90eac2b435efcc202ad1d019963"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and McGoey, Matthew and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary and Matier, Chris},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425018S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and McGoey, Matthew and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary and Matier, Chris},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - octobre 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2425-014-S","is_published":"2024-08-28T12:57:06.000000Z","release_date":"2024-08-28T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Fiscal Sustainability Report 2024","title_fr":"Rapport sur la viabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re de 2024","internal_id":"RP-2425-014-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides PBO\u2019s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.","abstract_fr":"Dans le rapport qui suit, le DPB pr\u00e9sente son \u00e9valuation de la viabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re \u00e0 long terme du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, des administrations infranationales et des r\u00e9gimes de retraite g\u00e9n\u00e9raux.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"From the perspective of the total general government sector, that is federal and subnational governments and public pension plans combined, current fiscal policy in Canada is sustainable over the long term. Relative to the size of the Canadian economy, total general government net debt is projected to decline steadily over the long term due to fiscal room at the federal level and to rising net asset positions in the public pension plans.","fr":"En ce qui concerne le secteur des administrations publiques consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un tout, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, les administrations infranationales et les r\u00e9gimes de retraite g\u00e9n\u00e9raux pris ensemble, la politique budg\u00e9taire actuelle au Canada est viable \u00e0 long terme. Par rapport \u00e0 la taille de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne, la dette publique g\u00e9n\u00e9rale nette devrait diminuer progressivement \u00e0 long terme en raison de la marge de man\u0153uvre financi\u00e8re au niveau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral et de l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la situation de l\u2019actif net des r\u00e9gimes de retraite publics."}},{"content":{"en":"Current fiscal policy at the federal level is sustainable over the long term. We estimate that the federal government could permanently increase spending or reduce taxes by 1.5 per cent of GDP ($46 billion in current dollars, growing in line with GDP thereafter) while maintaining fiscal sustainability.","fr":"La politique budg\u00e9taire f\u00e9d\u00e9rale actuelle est viable \u00e0 long terme. Nous estimons que le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral pourrait augmenter ses d\u00e9penses ou r\u00e9duire les imp\u00f4ts de 1,5 % du PIB (46 milliards de dollars en dollars courants, augmentant par la suite au rythme du PIB) tout en demeurant viable sur le plan budg\u00e9taire."}},{"content":{"en":"For the subnational government sector, which includes provincial-territorial, local and Indigenous governments, current fiscal policy is sustainable over the long term. Under current policy, projected subnational government revenues and program spending are sufficient to keep the subnational government net debt-to-GDP ratio below its 2023 level over the 75-year projection horizon.","fr":"Pour ce qui est des administrations infranationales, qui comprennent les administrations provinciales-territoriales, locales et autochtones, les politiques budg\u00e9taires actuelles sont viables \u00e0 long terme. Selon la politique actuelle, les revenus et les d\u00e9penses de programmes pr\u00e9vus des administrations infranationales sont suffisantes pour maintenir le ratio de la dette nette par rapport au PIB des administrations infranationales en dessous de son niveau de 2023 pour l\u2019horizon de 75 ans."}},{"content":{"en":"The current structure of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Quebec Pension Plan (QPP) is sustainable over the long term. Under the current structure of the plans, projected contributions and benefits are sufficient to ensure that the net asset-to-GDP position is above its 2023 value after 75 years.","fr":"La structure actuelle tant du R\u00e9gime de pensions du Canada (RPC) que du R\u00e9gime de rentes du Qu\u00e9bec (RRQ) est viable \u00e0 long terme. Avec la structure actuelle des r\u00e9gimes, les cotisations et les prestations pr\u00e9vues sont suffisantes pour garantir que la position nette de l\u2019actif par rapport au PIB est sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 sa valeur de 2023 apr\u00e8s 75 ans."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-08-28T15:28:11.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-014-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2024--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-014-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2024--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-014-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2024--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-014-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2024--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-014-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2024--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/17e59c636036ab66462ec8f935c66672f417b0049e135c8a3fee279aa33b719e"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/c929dc790c39be70bbf68c688da0acdd6b2e82dff8431f93c42da807d132334f"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5745fff800723f9c46c24f4b335cb13d575250429408f880e64e393aa3241d15","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ac93ab2effb4ce8c070e641ad683a41f407cacc359cf087ca670b846167dd229","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/48d912c1374f66cdecec0570edee2b59af4dcecbb0269636e83229de1eb2b941","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b5ba91d53481df7da8b586481597c7dc5ff28e32962636737bb093212ec0d48b","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f846338280998ff698a07f89abf9f2af88df3c9537f4ca6a35124b6062d21041","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b82e08bf27188b942f2d746679992d10934af4343f85074ebc189f0bd9da2b8c","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7e03b9657c21d3042718f574a236fe9bd1008b945313f744cdbf724c35d9a9b8","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/39b91dc5dcfc0e2d23a96d1babced62c2c4fa5319c735c35a6570d6444ed08f4"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/aa1c5147ce20f3aa9dd4d014350fddc50a7f6c45de2434f44cbf7a55da88b7ac","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9f2de4edc248bf1f9981090de3bfb30d24a6bdd0ee8999d3fff1059c64fff804","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/16617de4ea5dd5257bd56cec7d387842c190e781084df42e383db37d788c350f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a1a70b33a7631777879323744d8f4b035cebd9dff99653c6052d5f7a46b80130","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dd236d1ec5b79a8e525f5c4e7c813789016882ee8462dc27a8d39d96b39d2525","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f9b79c819055adbf4c783549b1e79d5db253bce2117032f06970deec8d98ac94","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2740d049ac02ffc3d99fa79442e4d9d7eea9f37e35d52ddb77004132be6054b0","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b7965b744c3a7bd2267bbebd74242b5decaaa626d0ac458fee75f5e27646b355"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425014S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and Matier, Chris and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Fiscal Sustainability Report 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425014S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and Matier, Chris and Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason},\n title={Rapport sur la viabilit\\\u0027{e} financi\\`{e}re de 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2425-010-C","is_published":"2024-06-28T12:57:05.000000Z","release_date":"2024-06-28T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"The Polar Icebreaker Project: 2024 Update","title_fr":"Le projet de brise-glaces polaires : mise \u00e0 jour de 2024","internal_id":"RP-2425-010-C","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides an updated independent cost estimate of the Development and Acquisition phases of the Polar Icebreaker Project.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une mise \u00e0 jour de l\u2019estimation ind\u00e9pendante des co\u00fbts des phases de d\u00e9veloppement et d\u2019acquisition relatives au projet de brise-glaces polaires.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The acquisition of 2 Polar Icebreakers is estimated to cost $8.5 billion. This cost includes all relevant components of the Development and Acquisition phases of the project.","fr":"L\u2019acquisition de deux brise-glaces polaires est estim\u00e9e \u00e0 8,5 milliards de dollars. Ce co\u00fbt comprend toutes les composantes pertinentes des phases de d\u00e9veloppement et d\u2019acquisition du projet."}},{"content":{"en":"The first Polar Icebreaker is expected to be delivered in 2030-2031, and the second in 2032-2033. This represents a 1 and 2 year delay for the first and second vessels, respectively, relative to prior PBO work on this Project in 2021.","fr":"Le premier brise-glace polaire devrait \u00eatre livr\u00e9 en 2030-2031 et le deuxi\u00e8me, en 2032-2033. C\u2019est, respectivement, un an et deux ans plus tard que ce qui \u00e9tait pr\u00e9vu lorsque le DPB s\u2019est pench\u00e9 sur ce projet pour la premi\u00e8re fois, en 2021."}},{"content":{"en":"A one-year delay to both vessels is estimated to cost an additional $260 million while a two-year delay is estimated to cost an additional $530 million.","fr":"Pour les deux navires, un retard d\u2019un an entra\u00eenerait un co\u00fbt suppl\u00e9mentaire de 260 millions de dollars, et un retard de deux ans entra\u00eenerait un co\u00fbt suppl\u00e9mentaire de 530 millions de dollars."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-06-28T16:04:57.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2425-010-C--polar-icebreaker-project-update--projet-brise-glaces-polaires-mise-jour-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-010-C--polar-icebreaker-project-update--projet-brise-glaces-polaires-mise-jour-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2425-010-C--polar-icebreaker-project-update--projet-brise-glaces-polaires-mise-jour-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-010-C--polar-icebreaker-project-update--projet-brise-glaces-polaires-mise-jour-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2425-010-C--polar-icebreaker-project-update--projet-brise-glaces-polaires-mise-jour-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/d990f39403c8989b774f6849a33ac0383c7bfa1aef6db079d95a626e454b2124"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/c4405871f59766321f1cf7f4b9011b3551ddef9a7b635c61d35d3d9f102dece8"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2ceab8eb854958a60f5943c926c933d32bfa238a45e60e86669d7166aa638182","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4ee6edacfdd8c2f2acc1803cbae95ff07360af31fe795002a3ed30d754f5f937","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c48eb31b5c0066035ba293585d3b27e15b0bc228584f9abdf38f2a56dc86e3be","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b3626736b8d1f741296cadbe2aeba5913c8b674278a75d6bf9e54de1050036a4","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/24a96123cfa2e3ca8b19a9834444b5a8d59daf5498ae06952bb90dc344711e4f","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3638fab880b8021852c8881217d73befd76f33ac161b7ff3d4f2d3faff9e2c19","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8e1ad42e7983a45ca9ac1fea6daef6667abca0c248edec02bd399e236f702880","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9d778cf70aea09457bf371335f198313c5f9c34b841c404b05a4644e56590f30"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/27f183e5bb8f2114df6ea122de72e13c2b1e23c76347985b9717e4373323fbcf","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cddd111cb88f42cce99f0d62d0eb31a2f0efebea6bff8843e62d8943926a2561","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fbf99e039280bf2b876031a1f7804f3f2c5f47f0667c77083adef9f1709f757a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e5624c5dab61bec6f34b31e3507b4f373f60106d05e2ab0d940dedda280e01e0","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c29a65ecd9f3b24bcb1af773cafd002281cdd55de16f36876c3193698788c4f3","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2c0a4c8d61ee68174670cfef381db459960b5055497b9164e69b4e63110f5cd3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/db66d050a1358f9fe0f77e593146078de98a9861c8d72dc2da2b8a0698feaa63","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f0f836d88aa679345339179a335dddeb67602feecbe01de556d34c9537d42585"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2425010C,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert},\n title={The Polar Icebreaker Project: 2024 Update},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2425010C,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert},\n title={Le projet de brise-glaces polaires : mise \\`{a} jour de 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2324-027-S","is_published":"2024-03-05T13:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2024-03-05T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2014 March 2024","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2014 Mars 2024","internal_id":"RP-2324-027-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport fournit une projection de base pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires potentiels dans le contexte actuel des politiques.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Parliamentary Budget Officer (PBO) projects growth in the Canadian economy to remain sluggish through 2024. Restrictive monetary policy is expected to restrain growth in consumer spending in the first half of the year and to dampen residential investment over the course of this year. Inventory investment is projected to subtract from growth as businesses pullback on their stock building.","fr":"Le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne demeure l\u00e9thargique tout au long de 2024. La politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive devrait limiter la croissance des d\u00e9penses de consommation au cours de la premi\u00e8re moiti\u00e9 de l\u2019ann\u00e9e et freiner l\u2019investissement r\u00e9sidentiel tout au long de celle-ci. L\u2019investissement en stocks devrait freiner la croissance \u00e0 mesure que les entreprises reculent dans la constitution de leurs stocks."}},{"content":{"en":"As excess supply in the economy increases and commodity prices continue to weaken, PBO projects that Consumer price index (CPI) inflation will return to its 2 per cent target by the end of 2024. With CPI inflation on track to return to target later this year, we continue to expect the Bank of Canada to start lowering its policy rate in April.","fr":"Avec l\u2019augmentation de l\u2019offre exc\u00e9dentaire dans l\u2019\u00e9conomie et la baisse des prix des produits de base, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que l\u2019inflation de l\u2019indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC) reviendra \u00e0 sa cible de 2 % d\u2019ici la fin de 2024. L\u2019inflation de l\u2019IPC \u00e9tant en bonne voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible plus tard cette ann\u00e9e, nous nous attendons toujours \u00e0 ce que la Banque du Canada commence \u00e0 baisser son taux directeur en avril."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the budgetary deficit to rise to $46.8 billion (1.6 per cent of the Gross domestic product (GDP)) in 2023-24 from the $35.3 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) deficit recorded in 2022\u201123. Assuming no new measures are introduced, and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the deficit is projected to resume its downward trajectory, falling to $16.9 billion (0.5 per cent of GDP) in 2028-29.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire augmente \u00e0 46,8 milliards de dollars (1,6 % du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB)) en 2023-2024 par rapport au d\u00e9ficit de 35,3 milliards de dollars (1,3 % du PIB) enregistr\u00e9 en 2022-2023. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait revenir sur sa trajectoire descendante et passer \u00e0 16,9 milliards de dollars (0,5 % du PIB) en 2028-2029."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to increase from its 2022-23 level of 41.7 per cent, reaching 42.4 per cent in 2023\u201124 and 42.5 per cent in 2024\u201125. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 39.2 per cent in 2028\u201129 but remain well above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019\u201120.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB augmente par rapport \u00e0 son niveau de 41,7 % en 2022-2023 pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 42,4 % en 2023-2024 et 42,5 % en 2024-2025. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait atteindre 39,2 % en 2028\u20112029, mais rester sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to total revenues) to rise from 7.8 per cent in 2022\u201123 to 10.2 per cent in 2023\u201124. As the effective interest rate on debt edges higher in 2024\u201125, we project the debt service ratio to increase further and average 10.7 per cent through 2028\u201129\u2014well above its pre-pandemic record low of 7.0 per cent in 2018-19.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que le ratio du service de la dette (c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les frais de la dette publique par rapport aux recettes totales) augmente, passant de 7,8 % en 2022-2023 \u00e0 10,2 % en 2023-2024. \u00c9tant donn\u00e9 que le taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat effectif sur la dette sera plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 en 2024-2025, nous nous attendons \u00e0 ce que le ratio du service de la dette augmente encore et s\u2019\u00e9tablisse \u00e0 10,7 % en moyenne jusqu\u2019en 2028-2029, bien au-dessus du niveau plancher pr\u00e9pand\u00e9mique de 7,0 % en 2018-2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2024-03-05T13:57:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-027-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2024--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2024"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/592b2821b72a722d94c7e2ec550869247372b74075bbba84f38f09c8b398fce9"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c4cdb97a9afd883daa9e3d3e5391752c1a3def1a44039e6ae978ac84625ab38"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06095f19ca30d6fc8a62e52d7c5a64f0b9c5aa6910c3c18996b34405155b6077","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/193cee6e59ff94014ee8cde3ef61c938752076572e540ed663955de3dd4d4253","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/333d8b06ff001133abd4a56b5d354ce264bb556a0084a4f3920ee4eff8d9489c","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ccdbba14afda98a8df3c8e1228b3605e6aa2c8b67096d0e2919fd593a7535eab","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2a83fb90de2a7d96a541a581e66b63da3d200e81f92b280d7e66a73ce06ab7ea","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2634b3c2c427a0819236effc902f3b958ea661c6d9bdf202154e68a836e7f7f5","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3076bacb621066bf6486b3c84dfce44e410ccf761d848121d3983861487a7744","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/57aee2ca666b3496b4b887b4b6b374f872c8c6aabe9241457dbdab9ccca1372e"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/90f20a17fafa029f686260ced14140337e6f2188e8b1f3599b30eaf25ca5906d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c7bc398e2aac825d14c45c527125d0cbfa48fe76dd9ea7263985db5829b94e8c","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/47329158fe8dc39c56ae28a48ce0a82834432f9f7951cf313c1b33f030b21b8f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5dbaa3fe6b3a25c0c1f221ed7b11ef344a2c3e9690ef34db402122a50ff7a5f9","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/07544b6965ecbc93e866d9f5a34d45c70a4fe919ce66bbca45aae402b6a4b775","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f445fff1f4395e5a7bc05d3de9a0e4e4646d059d2a37f8d2c3956b3f773efc1c","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc356e5be4e13ddaabf1c4d9a171b8407b4324294f84713134e868c1c8ef09d1","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6170b6fec1a23dedf88a5b804769aac1fae2ac0ec854b39e516b78aed786e9f6"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324027S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Scholz, Tim and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook \\textemdash March 2024},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324027S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Robert-Lacroix, Ulysse and Scholz, Tim and Stanton, Jason and Vrhovsek, Zachary},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res \\textemdash Mars 2024},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2024,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2324-017-M","is_published":"2023-12-06T13:57:04.000000Z","release_date":"2023-12-06T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Revenue of a Corporate Tax Rate Increase Based on CEO-to-Median Worker Pay Ratio","title_fr":"Recettes tir\u00e9es de l\u2019augmentation du taux d\u2019imposition des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s fond\u00e9e sur le ratio entre le salaire du PDG comparativement au salaire m\u00e9dian des employ\u00e9s","internal_id":"LEG-2324-017-M","metadata":{"abstract_en":"Motion M-87, Corporate Tax Rate Increase and Disclosure of CEO-to-Median-Worker Pay Ratio, introduced by Member of Parliament Jagmeet Singh, proposes to implement an increase in the corporate income tax rate for large corporate entities that have a disparity in their CEO-to-median worker pay ratio.","abstract_fr":"La motion M-87, Augmentation du taux d\u2019imposition des soci\u00e9t\u00e9s et divulgation du ratio entre le salaire du PDG comparativement au salaire m\u00e9dian des employ\u00e9s, d\u00e9pos\u00e9e par le d\u00e9put\u00e9 Jagmeet Singh, propose d\u2019augmenter le taux d\u2019imposition des grandes entreprises ayant des disparit\u00e9s dans le ratio entre le salaire du PDG comparativement au salaire m\u00e9dian des employ\u00e9s.","highlights":[]},"updated_at":"2023-12-06T13:57:04.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2324-017-M--revenue-corporate-tax-rate-increase-based-ceo-median-worker-pay-ratio--recettes-tirees-augmentation-taux-imposition-societes-fondee-ratio-entre-salaire-pdg-comparativement","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2324-017-M--revenue-corporate-tax-rate-increase-based-ceo-median-worker-pay-ratio--recettes-tirees-augmentation-taux-imposition-societes-fondee-ratio-entre-salaire-pdg-comparativement","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2324-017-M--revenue-corporate-tax-rate-increase-based-ceo-median-worker-pay-ratio--recettes-tirees-augmentation-taux-imposition-societes-fondee-ratio-entre-salaire-pdg-comparativement"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2324-017-M--revenue-corporate-tax-rate-increase-based-ceo-median-worker-pay-ratio--recettes-tirees-augmentation-taux-imposition-societes-fondee-ratio-entre-salaire-pdg-comparativement","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2324-017-M--revenue-corporate-tax-rate-increase-based-ceo-median-worker-pay-ratio--recettes-tirees-augmentation-taux-imposition-societes-fondee-ratio-entre-salaire-pdg-comparativement"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/b8a1e659a1008db52d79d0df0d3f0e59fd7fc0d065399cb8073f3261d260e6eb"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/f316672749fdad70c0213710d3554b856ad3673b18a437bedcd0ef548d04e2cb"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/253aa5a12295219fcd7a477fd9f77f7656ddf52c2dcaf1025eba7ca2cfeef84c","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/77747d6e1afd7bd91941fb4f9e419572fadee4b525027da180e18c89ce91e799","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/81422d006d1046222a1de1f01a4afda30da000e702a890f74f644436368c8c86","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e724591b3400254b674da110cda654ac47a1bcbf44536ca9db748f67e59a4fa4","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/729671d91f32cd80a19785030ab1830eaf7277b7c0d3e439455dbb94f0608b7e","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cf190f736d2119e9a12ab0f7739dcc61adce7110fdfd56ce95582f9c99b3b18d","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/029935cfd5990ebd1f64bf6385df4a303bec8dbc287a8cb2d4acce42486dce15","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/882049afd43ea1a16411ef6dee82c7336bde6ce91279cb17d19dbf84cee74e81"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f4b8a11e77b6e6910e216d84e2bf44783b6c90b1c5901feeff315106d2ca2347","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/235d81c35510b1e099dac2a1cbb7b472858bc5ed04e7f656b78617c80cbe5220","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a190a537b5f37b479dd5c3d46d7c8b9bdd3fa8b0b0346699b3521cf191bc112f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cf2edf4dee934e15262489f6bb48579da08900ebed39a274b6705a346b839a68","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0cae427f0ff900f5a5c538608981ef46e7222d63f580fd485cc3c3440c5ce560","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b8a99c614d300e7f7f2fe121376c4194746141b0f8b702578bdbf78c3780b870","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b65f232ccdd5b6fb2d12d06c8bc9b8effcab58e221eaf06da3b6066e8a0e4879","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06ffe202be6b9fa735f81c09376e8bf92b6a02803c04aecd032e7cd814e8d539"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2324017M,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt},\n title={Revenue of a Corporate Tax Rate Increase Based on CEO-to-Median Worker Pay Ratio},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2324017M,\n author={Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt},\n title={Recettes tir\\\u0027{e}es de l\u2019augmentation du taux d\u2019imposition des soci\\\u0027{e}t\\\u0027{e}s fond\\\u0027{e}e sur le ratio entre le salaire du PDG comparativement au salaire m\\\u0027{e}dian des employ\\\u0027{e}s},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2324-017-S","is_published":"2023-10-13T12:57:11.000000Z","release_date":"2023-10-13T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 October 2023","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 octobre 2023","internal_id":"RP-2324-017-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport fournit une projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et financiers possibles dans le cadre des politiques actuelles.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Following the contraction in real GDP in the second quarter, PBO projects the Canadian economy to stagnate in the second half of 2023. As the Bank of Canada maintains its restrictive monetary policy to restore price stability, we project that consumer spending will remain weak in the second half of this year and the first half of 2024.","fr":"Apr\u00e8s la contraction du produit int\u00e9rieur brut (PIB) r\u00e9el au deuxi\u00e8me trimestre, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne stagnera au cours du deuxi\u00e8me semestre de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2023. Alors que la Banque du Canada maintient sa politique mon\u00e9taire restrictive afin de r\u00e9tablir la stabilit\u00e9 des prix, nous pr\u00e9voyons que les d\u00e9penses de consommation demeureront faibles au cours du deuxi\u00e8me semestre de cette ann\u00e9e et de la premi\u00e8re moiti\u00e9 de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO expects the Bank of Canada to hold the policy interest rate at 5 per cent through the first quarter of 2024. With CPI inflation on track to return to its 2 per cent target, we then expect the Bank to start lowering its policy rate in April 2024.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que la Banque du Canada maintienne le taux directeur \u00e0 5 % jusqu\u2019au premier trimestre de 2024. L\u2019inflation de l\u2019IPC \u00e9tant en bonne voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible de 2 %, nous pr\u00e9voyons que la Banque commencera \u00e0 abaisser son taux directeur en avril 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"For the current fiscal year, 2023-24, PBO projects the budgetary deficit to rise to $46.5 billion (1.6 per cent of GDP). Assuming no new measures are introduced, and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the budgetary deficit is projected to resume its downward trajectory, falling to $8.2 billion (0.2 per cent of GDP) in 2028-29.","fr":"Pour l\u2019exercice financier en cours, soit 2023-2024, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire atteindra 46,5 milliards de dollars (1,6 % du PIB). En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait revenir sur sa trajectoire descendante et passer \u00e0 8,2 milliards de dollars (0,2 % du PIB) en 2028-2029."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to rise to 42.6 per cent in 2023 24. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 37.8 per cent in 2028-29 but remain above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019-20.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit une augmentation du ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB de 42,6 % en 2023-2024. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait atteindre 37,8 % en 2028 2029, mais rester sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau d\u2019avant la pand\u00e9mie, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019 2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to tax revenues) under status quo policy will peak at 12.0 per cent in 2023-24 and then decline gradually to 11.0 per cent in 2028-29\u2014well above its pre-pandemic low of 8.3 per cent in 2018-19.","fr":"Le DPB projette que le ratio du service de la dette (c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les charges de la dette publique par rapport aux recettes fiscales), selon une politique de statu quo, culminera \u00e0 12,0 % en 2023 2024, puis diminuera progressivement pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 11,0 % en 2028 2029, soit bien au-dessus de son niveau le plus bas enregistr\u00e9 avant la pand\u00e9mie, \u00e0 savoir 8,3 % en 2018 2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2023-10-30T11:33:03.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2324-017-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2023","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-017-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-017-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2023"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-017-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-017-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2023"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/48014b51a8f869dfb0ecc9163f1989c560c107cc3aa9d29a8dd1a40c0e73a664"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/5a2187bb6ed654597e45117677fde8a53b7c0a8077ae4a9b273c502021b0395c"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3f0ac070338e99c9e024fba6f51d4395126b1599787a710bc8fdbec59ca37a37","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8c91fc6b516a055baf6267c0abc49211144c48fc985888ece068f613b2cf319b","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/14b870179b375409a94eeffa2e0d61259656c7809717b46bdb6e7dad1a9f71a6","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/00ded9049717d36f0c90aff050bdddb50322d81c4bce1276b1a19629c18e74a1","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/44bead66a5730a843703164f455cee7a8c0996f290a82de984f88dbe04724229","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4b7d2bc161fbd66fc5a11fa51ed60e04d126d82106341b5825c86ca531bbb63e","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/638b944b8a5c42cd8fb34525cffa2f681b543c9d951bfcfa6dcccbad26fef0f7","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5bc367026e766c2206b92a261d23a5ae22f768e441ced0d482fc5d309df15ff1"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/56494b21089fb3dda05eddd3db11b01cf2f3b8501786202a860318fbce74fd30","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f500451f2c3b4caa34db934cbdc42353bdcba90ded1906ef5bd7a52df24950cd","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c90fe809718cb6febee32cb61f76eb4bcb4a25468ba7471d8b2deb403ce49e9a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/989467e8f14bcb1bedc4dc28e0bfe87d655c6d0a931a131143a05955cc326be5","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/75a85c74ee28b7c3f6145b7083ae8c3c48a677ee28a6881ede7e45671bd90aea","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/39db98261619edf2a1ac49332ff049d6d76ca5c35e2050f9a592bb52b452def3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d5b736fc0483291faa10877244e87eb2652a011436040ed8f56f8a2c3abe1eb2","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cf3e4baa03ffec0d871a79beeaf32e59e01ad11e59bf6f554a5b4652d706d271"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324017S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Stanton, Jason and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2023},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324017S,\n author={Ammar, Nasreddine and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Nahornick, Nora and Stanton, Jason and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - octobre 2023},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2324-011-S","is_published":"2023-07-27T12:57:04.000000Z","release_date":"2023-07-27T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Fiscal Sustainability Report 2023","title_fr":"Rapport sur la viabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re de 2023","internal_id":"RP-2324-011-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides PBO\u2019s assessment of the sustainability of government finances over the long term for the federal government, subnational governments and public pension plans.","abstract_fr":"Dans ce rapport, le DPB pr\u00e9sente son \u00e9valuation de la viabilit\u00e9 financi\u00e8re \u00e0 long terme du gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, des administrations infranationales et des r\u00e9gimes de retraite g\u00e9n\u00e9raux.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"From the perspective of the total general government sector, that is federal and subnational governments and public pension plans combined, current fiscal policy in Canada is sustainable over the long term. Relative to the size of the Canadian economy, total general government net debt is projected to decline steadily over the long term due to fiscal room at the federal level and to rising net asset positions in the public pension plans.","fr":"En ce qui concerne le secteur des administrations publiques consid\u00e9r\u00e9es comme un tout, c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral, les administrations infranationales et les r\u00e9gimes de retraite g\u00e9n\u00e9raux pris ensemble, la politique budg\u00e9taire actuelle au Canada est viable \u00e0 long terme. Par rapport \u00e0 la taille de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne, la dette publique g\u00e9n\u00e9rale nette devrait diminuer progressivement \u00e0 long terme en raison de la marge de man\u0153uvre financi\u00e8re au niveau f\u00e9d\u00e9ral et de l\u2019am\u00e9lioration de la situation de l\u2019actif net des r\u00e9gimes de retraite publics."}},{"content":{"en":"Current fiscal policy at the federal level is sustainable over the long term. We estimate that the federal government could permanently increase spending or reduce taxes by 1.7 per cent of GDP ($49.5 billion in current dollars, growing in line with GDP thereafter) while maintaining fiscal sustainability.","fr":"La politique budg\u00e9taire f\u00e9d\u00e9rale actuelle est viable \u00e0 long terme. Nous estimons que le gouvernement f\u00e9d\u00e9ral pourrait augmenter ses d\u00e9penses ou r\u00e9duire les imp\u00f4ts de 1,7 % du PIB (49,5 milliards de dollars en dollars courants, augmentant par la suite au rythme du PIB) tout en demeurant viable sur le plan budg\u00e9taire."}},{"content":{"en":"For the subnational government sector, which includes provincial-territorial, local and Indigenous governments, current fiscal policy is sustainable over the long term. Under current policy, projected subnational government revenues and program spending are sufficient to keep the subnational government net debt-to-GDP ratio below its 2022 level over the 75-year projection horizon.","fr":"Pour ce qui est des administrations infranationales, qui comprennent les administrations provinciales, territoriales, locales et autochtones, les politiques budg\u00e9taires actuelles sont viables \u00e0 long terme. Selon la politique actuelle, les revenus et les d\u00e9penses de programmes pr\u00e9vus des administrations infranationales sont suffisantes pour maintenir le ratio de la dette nette par rapport au PIB des administrations infranationales en dessous de son niveau de 2022 pour l\u2019horizon de 75 ans."}},{"content":{"en":"The current structure of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Quebec Pension Plan (QPP) is sustainable over the long term. Under the current structure of the plans, projected contributions and benefits are sufficient to ensure that the net asset-to-GDP position is above its 2022 value after 75 years.","fr":"La structure actuelle tant du R\u00e9gime de pensions du Canada (RPC) que du R\u00e9gime de rentes du Qu\u00e9bec (RRQ) est viable \u00e0 long terme. Avec la structure actuelle des r\u00e9gimes, les cotisations et les prestations pr\u00e9vues sont suffisantes pour garantir que la position nette de l\u2019actif par rapport au PIB est sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 sa valeur de 2022 apr\u00e8s 75 ans."}}]},"updated_at":"2023-09-19T18:08:03.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2324-011-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2023--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2023","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-011-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2023--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-011-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2023--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2023"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-011-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2023--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-011-S--fiscal-sustainability-report-2023--rapport-viabilite-financiere-2023"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/14112865d6961441f766fa6e8f511a29368a6a15a3e8b8445af18c7cbda6d632"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/141f168b00bd920bc9c6e23fa8192e335ec315ad6ab81a1311d298867ae44a28"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f5a6d162ca59b837a46677d33f93a808d448d23ce2f3d0f728a1b7615ca4c325","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b64905908e3cdb87a564f5d894fbe47a75d3c8b016f20e0591566ef8df799621","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d13ebfbc0b98705694fd02a04eff3b3ee7a5d8e9f49d050ff4cea132bdbed972","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06f22380d687d415721a031d2205907078627a6c93819aabb91ddb4ea46c7345","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3e543c446205fe491ea1a7a5f1597394f9c988b6ade37e61c5cf965b3aa39b6a","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c7c0e5550bb823fd105884647233c025747cc6e69c71023211c12137b0759233","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2702f13fc68a6b62db3f6905fe58be6f048111855c0663fdfade4ca923f7aa79","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d9a2c6dfb4e772a996671d768061cd9ed59feb8cc09496488bc98207fe2a177b"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/17394f7f5b7d2cd2405e3a05d1082eb72400241c249bb030a32cabf60b3ac77e","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1ecda173ac7eaaadda445b78990dab20fc050b7c65630f3d62d461a57a7fda53","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/908774ade4eeeff17628e025e84732f70148140d3beb90b5f55cc891c6b4cf0f","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7b71afd96030c5a71fa6885b69081feae0cff58126658e6b4b95accc98f0b0b3","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d40754705857de30a699d201f37356fcabb00c65512f7987923cd34075fb92c1","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0b907eb1cceafb94d48d829eb11798bbecc24abf316b554c630ebcc6a049f8fe","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1f436a00db8d0634a5757f25182161be439d7df54a1d3ac0c2fcad73ba51c99d","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/eb38410c8893c2f09e0ade99c8fa497ca4fa62241ce6bd67f9858b59c5c75dfd"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324011S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and Nicol, Caroline},\n title={Fiscal Sustainability Report 2023},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324011S,\n author={Barkova, Lisa and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kho, Albert and Laurin, Marianne and Nicol, Caroline},\n title={Rapport sur la viabilit\\\u0027{e} financi\\`{e}re de 2023},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2324-002-S","is_published":"2023-04-04T12:57:10.000000Z","release_date":"2023-04-04T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Personnel Expenditure Analysis \u2014 Update","title_fr":"Examen des d\u00e9penses en personnel \u2014 Mise \u00e0 jour","internal_id":"RP-2324-002-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides an analysis of the Government\u2019s spending on personnel over 2020-21 to 2021-22. The report highlights some key findings that were generated from the Personnel Expenditure Analysis Tool, PBO\u2019s interactive online tool.","abstract_fr":"Le pr\u00e9sent rapport offre une analyse des d\u00e9penses en personnel du gouvernement de 2020-2021 \u00e0 2021-2022. Des constatations cl\u00e9s \u00e9tablies \u00e0 l\u2019aide de l\u2019Outil d\u2019examen des d\u00e9penses en personnel, outil interactif en ligne du DPB, y sont mises en \u00e9vidence.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Largely driven by one-time expenditures, such as spending related to actuarial deficiencies, personnel spending grew significantly over the past two years, increasing by 30.9 per cent from $46.3 billion in 2019-20 to $60.7 billion in 2021-22. This represents average annual growth of 14.4 per cent, well above the historical average growth of 3.4 per cent per year observed over 2007-08 to 2019-20.","fr":"En grande partie \u00e0 cause de d\u00e9penses ponctuelles, comme celles li\u00e9es \u00e0 des insuffisances actuarielles, les d\u00e9penses en personnel ont beaucoup augment\u00e9 au cours des deux derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, soit de 30,9 %, pour passer de 46,3 milliards de dollars en 2019-2020 \u00e0 60,7 milliards de dollars en 2021-2022. Cette augmentation repr\u00e9sente une croissance annuelle moyenne de 14,4 %, ce qui est nettement sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 la croissance moyenne historique de 3,4 % par an enregistr\u00e9e de 2007-2008 \u00e0 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"The public service expanded by 31,227 full-time equivalents over the past two years, an increase of 8.2 per cent relative to its pre-pandemic level in 2019-20. According to Departmental Results Reports, much of this expansion was prompted by the pandemic.","fr":"L\u2019effectif de la fonction publique a augment\u00e9 de 31 227 \u00e9quivalents temps plein au cours des deux derni\u00e8res ann\u00e9es, soit de 8,2 % par rapport \u00e0 2019-2020, avant la pand\u00e9mie. Selon les rapports sur les r\u00e9sultats minist\u00e9riels, cette augmentation tient en grande partie \u00e0 la pand\u00e9mie."}},{"content":{"en":"Excluding one-time expenditures, compensation per full-time equivalent increased from an average of $117,497 in 2019-20 to $125,300 in 2021-22, an increase of 6.6 per cent. While increases in salaries were the largest contributor, spending on pensions, overtime and bonuses grew faster.","fr":"Exception faite des d\u00e9penses ponctuelles, la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration par \u00e9quivalent temps plein est pass\u00e9e d\u2019une moyenne de 117 497 $ en 2019-2020 \u00e0 125 300 $ en 2021-2022, soit une augmentation de 6,6 %. Si les augmentations salariales sont le principal facteur de cette hausse, les d\u00e9penses li\u00e9es aux pensions, aux heures suppl\u00e9mentaires et aux primes ont augment\u00e9 plus rapidement."}},{"content":{"en":"Informed by current negotiations, we consider a risk scenario where growth in compensation per full-time equivalent exceeds that underlying March outlook of 2.5 per cent annually, on average, over 2021 to 2023.","fr":"Compte tenu des n\u00e9gociations en cours, nous utilisons un sc\u00e9nario de risque o\u00f9 la croissance de la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration par \u00e9quivalent temps plein est sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la croissance de 2,5 % par ann\u00e9e en moyenne de 2021 \u00e0 2023 utilis\u00e9e dans nos perspectives \u00e9conomiques de mars."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on an assumed 4.5 per cent annual increase in compensation per full-time equivalent over 2021 to 2023, then growing in line with inflation thereafter, we estimate the cost to the Government would be $19.7 billion over 2023-2024 to 2027-28. This estimate, however, should be viewed as an upper bound since the increase is assumed to apply to the entire public service.","fr":"En partant de l\u2019hypoth\u00e8se d\u2019une augmentation annuelle de 4,5 % de la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration par \u00e9quivalent temps plein de 2021 \u00e0 2023, et en augmentant ensuite la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration en fonction de l\u2019inflation, nous estimons que le co\u00fbt pour le gouvernement serait de 19,7 milliards de dollars sur la p\u00e9riode allant de 2023-2024 \u00e0 2027-2028. Cette estimation doit toutefois \u00eatre consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme une limite sup\u00e9rieure, car il est suppos\u00e9 que l\u2019augmentation s\u2019applique \u00e0 l\u2019ensemble de la fonction publique."}}]},"updated_at":"2023-04-05T16:17:03.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2324-002-S--personnel-expenditure-analysis-update--examen-depenses-personnel-mise-jour","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-002-S--personnel-expenditure-analysis-update--examen-depenses-personnel-mise-jour","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2324-002-S--personnel-expenditure-analysis-update--examen-depenses-personnel-mise-jour"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-002-S--personnel-expenditure-analysis-update--examen-depenses-personnel-mise-jour","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2324-002-S--personnel-expenditure-analysis-update--examen-depenses-personnel-mise-jour"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/b6aaf0274b613d1d86debb6e038f8794194733225f5dc2b4bc99f712c6c6f343"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/66a1e1ee7e0d2aebb0bc931432389f0e443ff9f4de1d40fc7f9f1f4db09d84bb"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b31cd95edab81380aa05c60b39b2f1fc5dfacd805d0e453ff78a9c927454f536","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c4f354aff93aa9003888f4c5b73b22f2686919459870a107f8d12c88981b21d1","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d783e6f6e171246d26d5cb6e7698a6007c274d56d418a5600fc0fe5682ada7be","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fdcd3d78917fd68909ab489d614583656b93f7057ab0b3b2b93c79b6e2fb0a18","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3f4e3745116dfd28eb05e5f87db71c25f5cc42b8960322778a1c86162f69ca87","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2359d88f9c83f0d0de025a441e8cbe7d553c6b99245474823d5c151f8afda13f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/76f6a6d886d1e22b7792591aa5b19dc9e6ed11787daa8c71161f5052d462a36c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e32eb1b9aef46cce31889d81a3f29509cd4a4b8c4aa26d6b14043ee1baf77a4a"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/26e3805d562b2672070d5280c3606bd05ab011db98c01b0c844be93fd1161889","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cc6cd149f49333ca3f8e1bbd185ee379bd2b1aa4c8552618f91ec90394170809","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ba77ff557161d1928aac6bf2ec8f4c0e57f1bc466123acc0bb3093f15bf66e4b","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3d867ca77adfa2e1ba8af8182cf3b6253e7a5dbb59ac061d95ae3cc35b1f6bcd","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/025e46cb10e09a7a09a27f09a7f59555b94c850abc6e8563061f3c268c401d41","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/28879b4f95cee9aa930f47ebc24b96591a9ee0162afa5621db4e2cb72894132e","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b8a3274450419e91833298b3e647eb53ca02da5603ff0fd35a8a72be4b93cac4","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a6941a30ea776c5d69b8ca9d8cd0a3e7a9f47f79c518423954a4191d80962f7c"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2324002S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Personnel Expenditure Analysis \\textemdash Update},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2324002S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Examen des d\\\u0027{e}penses en personnel \\textemdash Mise \\`{a} jour},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-025-S","is_published":"2023-03-02T13:57:04.000000Z","release_date":"2023-03-02T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2014 March 2023","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2014 Mars 2023","internal_id":"RP-2223-025-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et financiers possibles dans le cadre des politiques actuelles.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Following a stronger-than-expected performance in the second half of 2022, PBO projects the Canadian economy to stagnate through 2023. As the tightening of monetary policy takes hold, we expect a further decline in residential investment and weakness in consumer spending in the first half of this year.","fr":"Apr\u00e8s que l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne ait affich\u00e9 une performance plus \u00e9lev\u00e9e que pr\u00e9vu lors du deuxi\u00e8me semestre de 2022, le directeur parlementaire du budget (DPB) s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce qu\u2019elle stagne jusqu\u2019en 2023. \u00c0 mesure que le resserrement de la politique mon\u00e9taire se concr\u00e9tise, nous pr\u00e9voyons de nouvelle baisse de l\u2019investissement r\u00e9sidentiel et une faiblesse des d\u00e9penses de consommation au cours de la premi\u00e8re moiti\u00e9 de l\u2019ann\u00e9e."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO expects the Bank of Canada to maintain its \u201cpause\u201d, holding the policy interest rate at 4.5 per cent, through December of this year. With CPI inflation solidly on track to return to its 2 per cent target, we then expect the Bank to start lowering its policy rate in January 2024, returning the rate to its estimated neutral level of 2.5 per cent in December 2024.","fr":"Le DPB s\u2019attend \u00e0 ce que la Banque du Canada observe sa \u00ab\u2009pause\u2009\u00bb, en maintenant le taux directeur \u00e0 4,5 % jusqu\u2019\u00e0 la fin du mois de d\u00e9cembre de cette ann\u00e9e. Puisque l\u2019inflation de l\u2019indice des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC) est en voie de revenir \u00e0 sa cible de 2 %, nous pr\u00e9voyons que la Banque commencera \u00e0 r\u00e9duire son taux directeur en janvier 2024, puis le ram\u00e8nera \u00e0 son niveau neutre estim\u00e9 de 2,5 % en d\u00e9cembre 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"For the current fiscal year, 2022-23, PBO projects the budgetary deficit to be $36.5 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) under status quo policy. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the deficit is projected to increase to $43.1 billion (1.5 per cent of GDP) in 2023-24 before resuming its downward trajectory, falling to $8.7 billion (0.3 per cent of GDP) in 2027-28.","fr":"Pour l\u2019exercice en cours de 2022-2023, le DPB pr\u00e9voit un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 36,5 milliards de dollars (1,3 % du PIB) selon une politique de statu quo. En supposant qu\u2019il n\u2019y ait pas de nouvelles mesures et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit devrait augmenter \u00e0 43,1 milliards de dollars (1,5 % du PIB) en 2023-2024 avant de reprendre sa trajectoire descendante, chutant \u00e0 8,7 milliards de dollars (0,3 % du PIB) en 2027-2028."}},{"content":{"en":"Under status quo policy, PBO projects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to decline to 41.8 per cent in 2022-23 and then to temporarily rise to 42.2 per cent in 2023-24. Assuming no new measures and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the federal debt ratio is projected to fall to 38.1 per cent in 2027-28 but remain above its pre-pandemic level of 31.2 per cent of GDP in 2019-20.","fr":"Selon une politique de statu quo, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB diminuera \u00e0 41,8 % en 2022-2023, puis qu\u2019il remontera temporairement \u00e0 42,2 % en 2023-2024. En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne soit prise et que les mesures temporaires existantes prennent fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale devrait diminuer \u00e0 38,1 % en 2027-2028. Cependant, il devrait rester sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 son niveau pr\u00e9-pand\u00e9mique, qui \u00e9tait de 31,2 % du PIB en 2019-2020."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the debt service ratio (that is, public debt charges relative to tax revenues) under status quo policy will peak at 11.5 per cent in 2023-24 and then decline gradually to 10.3 per cent in 2027-28\u2014two percentage points above its pre-pandemic low of 8.3 per cent in 2018 19.","fr":"Le DPB projette que le ratio du service de la dette (c\u2019est-\u00e0-dire les charges de la dette publique par rapport aux recettes fiscales) culminera \u00e0 11,5 % en 2023-2024 selon une politique de statu quo. Ensuite, il diminuera progressivement pour s\u2019\u00e9tablir \u00e0 10,3 % en 2027-2028, soit deux points de pourcentage de plus que le niveau le plus bas enregistr\u00e9 avant la pand\u00e9mie, \u00e0 savoir 8,3 % en 2018 2019."}}]},"updated_at":"2023-03-02T13:57:04.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2223-025-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2023","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-025-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-025-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2023"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-025-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2023","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-025-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2023--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2023"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/b91ed5d0fe5c8c8cbd7f4267be3aea5259b91fe8f6f48431bc565b2e280771cf"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/d712dda84b04c6449721fb3f4cb6b75abbbeee3d478b3ec9a3da6d1493a2ea40"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/89a6bae7810083bf1412af79096a587a43828ccda79d196c5b1861ca8327a1f7","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8bfd3dfc68c618671e3d50e1a9643091de164fa07d75e7053045f36dba5c1d07","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a2ea4aa1f1288a4ae5b1e4eb87efdb2a2580ecfdded631eeee1029810e0b55e5","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f0dfa56cfbb35df9706fae0f992ff8bbf4db9c896b118cb7ac8bd58e46b8d911","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e952dbe60316dd3f1dba81e0bcf583f50e55cd2d03c9e23bf1a35e8961c29297","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fa1727a263a3f7cf130e37ae86303c6c1b6d64517ce4c686dbff9c225c81226b","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4c747d4fc97d53b61e8645d4548e58344c96b177ca4e8296e8e41c27923470dd","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d7f5034323f7d43dfc6612441f1f47d065ef6d4cc474ee6852470619163b6444"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06b0bd214b776391e2f7933ab4ea62150223671502b22216b4ffeed322039308","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ae2d39c7bd531e0cd1cb56f77b68b0b71f4b40e2bac8da0c38c70a4421db3525","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e4c9739dc952f334f1ea353fc6909ee91550e415b0cb8352180bb75715cc19e2","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/47e2c3a6b39e5a38ff80ff5f9cd929bce1d2815d5c281c57c6b07afb1e025d96","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/09b9a1feb4ff88bc26fa95ed07dcf1a37a0d2f1454fe55b6710e81d7702e16b4","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/877b35d507633ecc898443bb72f9df983cb9e02fde7faa20088a56f7c98b61a8","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e0573bfbb576baa6bf96d81618ddee7aa4be2b68cff4b65b7b1ce2900a0bbf88","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/80485e6ad949ae3a7ceaef99875bb88d9746759e6ed5680e2b50d37e1e090068"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223025S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook \\textemdash March 2023},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223025S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Dong, Matt and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res \\textemdash Mars 2023},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2023,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-020-S","is_published":"2022-11-10T13:57:05.000000Z","release_date":"2022-11-10T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Risk Scenario Analysis \u2014 November 2022","title_fr":"Analyse de sc\u00e9nario de risque \u2014 Novembre 2022","internal_id":"RP-2223-020-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a risk scenario analysis to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal implications of central banks over-tightening monetary policy. **The scenario is not a most-likely forecast. It is an illustrative scenario of one possible outcome.**","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport propose une analyse de sc\u00e9nario de risque pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les possibles r\u00e9percussions \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res d\u2019un resserrement excessif de la politique mon\u00e9taire par les banques centrales. **Le sc\u00e9nario ne constitue pas une pr\u00e9vision. Il ne montre qu\u2019une des issues possibles \u00e0 la situation.**","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Our risk scenario assumes that the U.S. Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada will continue to rapidly raise their policy interest rates to 5.25 per cent and 5.0 per cent, respectively, in early 2023 (100 basis points above our October outlook). We assume that the Federal Reserve and Bank of Canada will begin to lower their policy rates in early 2024.","fr":"Dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, nous supposons que la R\u00e9serve f\u00e9d\u00e9rale am\u00e9ricaine et la Banque du Canada continueront d\u2019augmenter rapidement leur taux directeur, de sorte qu\u2019il atteigne 5,25 % et 5,0 % respectivement au d\u00e9but de 2023 (100 points de base de plus que dans nos perspectives d\u2019octobre). Nous supposons qu\u2019elles commenceront \u00e0 abaisser leur taux au d\u00e9but de 2024."}},{"content":{"en":"With the over-tightening of monetary policy, real GDP in Canada begins to contract in the fourth quarter of 2022 and declines further over the course of 2023 in our risk scenario. Annual real GDP growth in 2023 and 2024 is -0.3 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively, which is 1.5 and 1.0 percentage points lower compared to our October outlook.","fr":"Compte tenu du resserrement excessif de la politique mon\u00e9taire pr\u00e9vu dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, le PIB r\u00e9el du Canada commence \u00e0 se contracter au quatri\u00e8me trimestre de 2022 et continue de diminuer en 2023. La croissance annuelle du PIB r\u00e9el en 2023 et en 2024 est de 0,3 % et 1,3 % respectivement, ce qui repr\u00e9sente une baisse de 1,5 et 1,0 point de pourcentage par rapport \u00e0 nos perspectives d\u2019octobre."}},{"content":{"en":"Under our risk scenario, employment growth essentially stalls in late 2022 and over the course of 2023. Employment falls below levels projected in our October outlook, resulting in a loss of 177,000 (net) jobs by the end of 2024. The unemployment rate rises to 6.2 per cent in early 2024 in our risk scenario, which is 0.5 percentage points above our October outlook.","fr":"Dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, la croissance de l\u2019emploi stagne essentiellement \u00e0 la fin de 2022 et en 2023. L\u2019emploi tombe sous les niveaux pr\u00e9vus dans nos perspectives d\u2019octobre, ce qui se traduit par une perte de 177 000 emplois (nets) d\u2019ici la fin de 2024. Le taux de ch\u00f4mage passe \u00e0 6,2 % au d\u00e9but de 2024 dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, soit 0,5 point de pourcentage de plus que ce que nous pr\u00e9voyions dans nos perspectives d\u2019octobre."}},{"content":{"en":"Due to weaker economic activity and higher interest rates in 2023 and 2024 under our risk scenario, the budgetary deficit reaches $42.9 billion in 2023-24 (1.5 per cent of GDP) and $36.5 billion in 2024-25 (1.3 per cent of GDP). Compared to our October outlook, the budgetary deficit is $15.6 billion higher per year, on average, over 2023-24 to 2027-28.","fr":"En raison du ralentissement de l\u2019activit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique et de la hausse des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, en 2023 et 2024 pr\u00e9vus dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8ve \u00e0 42,9 milliards de dollars en 2023-2024 (1,5 % du PIB) et \u00e0 36,5 milliards en 2024-2025 (1,3 % du PIB). Par rapport \u00e0 nos perspectives d\u2019octobre, il est plus \u00e9lev\u00e9 de 15,6 milliards de dollars par ann\u00e9e, en moyenne, de 2023-2024 \u00e0 2027-2028."}},{"content":{"en":"Under our risk scenario, the federal debt-to-GDP ratio increases to 43.2 per cent of GDP in 2023-24 and remains elevated before gradually falling to 39.2 per cent in 2027-28. The debt service ratio (that is public debt charges relative to tax revenues) reaches 14.3 per cent in 2024-25 and then declines to 12.0 per cent in 2027-28.","fr":"Dans notre sc\u00e9nario de risque, le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB augmente pour passer \u00e0 43,2 % du PIB en 2023-2024 et reste \u00e9lev\u00e9 avant de revenir graduellement \u00e0 39,2 % en 2027-2028. Le ratio du service de la dette (soit le rapport entre les frais de la dette publique et les recettes fiscales) atteint 14,3 % en 2024-2025 avant de retomber \u00e0 12,0 % en 2027-2028."}}]},"updated_at":"2022-11-10T13:57:05.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2223-020-S--risk-scenario-analysis-november-2022--analyse-scenario-risque-novembre-2022","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-020-S--risk-scenario-analysis-november-2022--analyse-scenario-risque-novembre-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-020-S--risk-scenario-analysis-november-2022--analyse-scenario-risque-novembre-2022"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-020-S--risk-scenario-analysis-november-2022--analyse-scenario-risque-novembre-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-020-S--risk-scenario-analysis-november-2022--analyse-scenario-risque-novembre-2022"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/1784db049839a6abc9fce1862c044808c8f5395a2e6cd4ff6bc72ed642de352b"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4add25f0f3fe0524f9c433ba45ef4924dabde62e3e5d5e7f973ae656a4d43a70"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9ba2db66a0231ab8aa5b2c0099153c6042de983e216631333fdbd030fee443a4","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3caca905b6e0bb2962ed687fe19c6cc86a1090a6d695b4da233285a878bb7919","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3f6fa1760a0bae5d2a6d3edcab270fa53a490feb8e2d12f1de11d6ebfe3f3a7e","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/24b7f01db1ed2e1c05e4a4bf3855260440c9a2f9b0bc21dbe5d1295689d019c3","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b386a4acb137ce93d95c5a358bb89f1aa3ec86457664e9b9549510e0825ba487","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3cebe4cb090ff42b371b22f59326e72a57591b65f30ec28d03598f32480052d2","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/06c5f829ec5b71c436108ae2031e4d47400ddf6a28bfac56fe983426945cf640","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/19244a50c1cc10599289bd9f560870402a1ff345f376c67c23c2ee3b62fa45b3"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/864e05e30bbd443b983df6ce74adab5067394fe483ea07485cd980baa419e8ad","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fb87d4f0ee7ef2867e8305574cac5ecfef7af2015a1ba90ceae30a5f78413daa","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0203f253d0c718aa7dd4f59961cce2266f702b91a880a4a1ef5ad47609d59bb7","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/df6b5342fbd6e3c834bdcede16ffd86a9f015d4425335d87cb995278bc326167","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1bb0219a6f866dec9f554e01e6d484ecd1c3718e2dfbc4ffae181a3e82571e1c","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/39d9221f1edfd01bd00c9fe70a99a207e66eeac8e5eab755c9c37b31cff16ce3","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2cf79e87b40ad197102eaeafb72b079efa16750e211bd59913dca52069867edb","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2c5bb7701b5ea810495b8bef191eeacf5d1cb8b27de3e88fbe7da744d15081ab"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223020S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Behrend, Robert and Creighton, Mark and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Risk Scenario Analysis \\textemdash November 2022},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223020S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Behrend, Robert and Creighton, Mark and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Analyse de sc\\\u0027{e}nario de risque \\textemdash Novembre 2022},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-018-S","is_published":"2022-10-13T12:57:05.000000Z","release_date":"2022-10-13T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 October 2022","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 Octobre 2022","internal_id":"RP-2223-018-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente une projection de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et financiers possibles dans le cadre des politiques actuelles.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Since the beginning of March, the Bank of Canada has increased its policy rate by a total of 300 basis points. We expect the Bank to increase its policy rate further, reaching 4 per cent by the end of this year. With the tightening of monetary policy, PBO projects real GDP growth in Canada to slow considerably in the second half of 2022 and remain weak through 2023.","fr":"Depuis le d\u00e9but du mois de mars, la Banque du Canada a relev\u00e9 son taux directeur de 300 points de base au total et on peut s\u2019attendre \u00e0 ce qu\u2019elle le rel\u00e8ve encore pour qu\u2019il atteigne 4 % d\u2019ici la fin de l\u2019ann\u00e9e. Avec le resserrement de la politique mon\u00e9taire, le DPB pr\u00e9voit un net ralentissement de la croissance du PIB r\u00e9el du Canada pendant la seconde moiti\u00e9 de 2022 et une faible croissance tout au long de 2023."}},{"content":{"en":"As supply constraints ease and commodity prices recede from elevated levels in the first half of 2022, softer demand in 2023 is expected to contribute to sustained reductions in CPI inflation. With CPI inflation solidly on track to return to its 2 per cent target, we expect the Bank of Canada to start lowering its policy interest rate in late 2023.","fr":"Les difficult\u00e9s d\u2019approvisionnement s\u2019estompant et le cours des produits de base baissant par rapport aux niveaux \u00e9lev\u00e9s dans la premi\u00e8re moiti\u00e9 de 2022, le fl\u00e9chissement de la demande en 2023 devrait contribuer \u00e0 la baisse continue de l\u2019inflation des prix \u00e0 la consommation (IPC). Celle-ci \u00e9tant alors en tr\u00e8s bonne voie pour revenir \u00e0 la cible de 2 %, nous nous attendons \u00e0 ce que la Banque du Canada commence \u00e0 baisser son taux directeur \u00e0 la fin de 2023."}},{"content":{"en":"In the absence of final financial results for the past fiscal year, PBO estimates that there was a budgetary deficit of $97.0 billion (3.9 per cent of GDP) in 2021-22. For the current fiscal year 2022-23, PBO projects the deficit to decline to $25.8 billion (0.9 per cent of GDP) under status quo policy.","fr":"En l\u2019absence de r\u00e9sultats financiers d\u00e9finitifs pour le dernier exercice, le DPB estime que le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire pour 2021-2022 s\u2019\u00e9l\u00e8vait \u00e0 97 milliards de dollars (3,9 % du PIB). Pour l\u2019exercice en cours, 2022-2023, il devrait revenir \u00e0 25,8 milliards de dollars (0,9 % du PIB), si la politique demeure inchang\u00e9e."}},{"content":{"en":"Assuming no new measures are introduced and existing temporary measures sunset as scheduled, the budgetary deficit is projected to decline further, reaching $3.1 billion (0.1 per cent of GDP) in 2027-28, as growth in tax revenue tracks gains in nominal GDP and growth in program spending remains constrained.","fr":"En supposant qu\u2019aucune nouvelle mesure ne sera introduite et que les mesures temporaires actuelles prendront fin comme pr\u00e9vu, le d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire devrait continuer de baisser pour atteindre 3,1 milliards de dollars (0,1 % du PIB) en 2027-2028, la croissance des recettes fiscales suivant la hausse du PIB nominal et l\u2019augmentation des d\u00e9penses de programmes restant limit\u00e9e."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to continue to decline from its peak in 2020-21, gradually reaching 36.2 per cent in 2027-28, but remain above its pre-pandemic level. We project the debt service ratio (public debt charges relative to tax revenues) will peak at 11.5 per cent in 2024-25 and then decline gradually, reaching 10.9 per cent in 2027-28.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB continuera de baisser par rapport au pic atteint en 2020-2021 pour revenir graduellement \u00e0 36,2 % en 2027-2028, mais qu\u2019il restera sup\u00e9rieur \u00e0 ce qu\u2019il \u00e9tait avant la pand\u00e9mie. Nous pr\u00e9voyons que le ratio du service de la dette (soit le rapport entre les frais de la dette publique et les recettes fiscales) atteindra 11,5 % en 2024-2025, avant de redescendre graduellement \u00e0 10,9 % en 2027-2028."}}]},"updated_at":"2022-10-13T12:57:05.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2223-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2022","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2022"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-018-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-october-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-octobre-2022"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/258865a69ecf369e99f05a9e799d04136ed8c0b04830967d0ad5aecfd59f90f9"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/51a083e93dd377e22512a1bded7c9ec3406c0f7fac7eb2d3cc34b5fb31543ee6"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d7fa73999c04307e23d86d96180e5f91c31033c5a98ee407dc6b62cf9055991a","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9d332a78925718b07fbda3f93d76ab9bb2aebdba80cd6e29adc6f4cb242d2ddf","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fbb974d4b634d9d774e0b6d9a8963dcc027d71682e31681f69f8d3b8a772ef81","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b1ed7e24b589eb9697f566532534e451fdf683e36f72b4528766a85f31585db4","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/fd5194e7f1ad4e2700932baba6f3337de968a2b78fbf3ac192ba3f9ddbca25f2","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/569284196971fde0ae04a2fe40f3fb15fd9aeb8212b3a92d03fa50b47895fe1b","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/9c606032b827b08e41f6ef8fcef2179d1759bc6853619320448436732c0eb62c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/4e27d041a155bc9dbb184b1c2a2a5f0188b46d4baea9c42d68345e6e2188e539"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e868718d7e6d6970c4c12049c275e08082aad802f134c34933002ffffb819e10","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f6a27cfedbbd466a775bce54ecdf70d3f89806f124a864cedfd28e534ff00e9f","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/765b7fa64713a56d6569df337c447227e123b34ac1898507a5cadc055ea531f1","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3c2ccb74035ad35fa788f6075f4f194cfa212d85ad15450156ab4e19a9370a68","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ca52aaabbc28d4b60d603d25ababb7e5100d76064e4e8ffdef1c0cfb6c1ce1d2","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d2b396382ddf283ac93c1e58d239a0485c786a64e9c61c61435e62d76eddc6ad","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b0bd984003014b83e12072b4962d24e1abbf54f1bdcbdac4f1f3a62f069bef29","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6b3117d563ea91e5017f03f8b53059e09c7bd98995dbfa2b78a825de0b37a3d6"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223018S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - October 2022},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223018S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Barkova, Lisa and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Kpekou Tossou, Rolande and Laurin, Marianne and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - Octobre 2022},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2223-008-S","is_published":"2022-06-16T12:57:07.000000Z","release_date":"2022-06-16T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Cost of a Dental Care Plan for Canadians","title_fr":"Co\u00fbt d\u2019un r\u00e9gime de soins dentaires pour les Canadiens","internal_id":"LEG-2223-008-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"Implementing a dental care plan for Canadians. The plan is expected to cover the costs of routine care, fluoride treatments, radiographs, sealants and other combinations of caries treatments, dentures, and periodontics. Households with an income below $90,000 may benefit from the plan. A phase-in period lasting from 2022 to 2025 will gradually expand coverage to those eligible. Households with an income below $70,000 per year will bear no cost. Co-payments scale linearly for households with income between $70,000 and $90,000. The thresholds are indexed to inflation.\n\nThe PBO estimates that this program will cost $9,036 million over a 5 fiscal year period and benefit 1,425 thousand people over 2022-2023, increasing to 5,894 thousand by 2026-2027.","abstract_fr":"Ce projet de loi met en \u0153uvre un r\u00e9gime de soins dentaires pour les Canadiens. Le r\u00e9gime devrait couvrir le co\u00fbt des soins courants, du traitement au fluorure, des radiographies, des agents de liaison et d\u2019autres combinaisons de traitement de caries, de proth\u00e8ses et de parodontie. Les m\u00e9nages dont le revenu sera inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 90 000 $ pourront participer au r\u00e9gime. Au cours d\u2019une p\u00e9riode de mise en place qui durera de 2022 \u00e0 2025, l\u2019admissibilit\u00e9 au r\u00e9gime sera graduellement \u00e9tendue. Le r\u00e9gime ne co\u00fbtera rien aux m\u00e9nages dont le revenu annuel sera inf\u00e9rieur \u00e0 70 000 $. Le montant de la quote part augmentera de fa\u00e7on lin\u00e9aire pour les m\u00e9nages dont le revenu se situera entre 70 000 et 90 000 $. Les seuils seront index\u00e9s \u00e0 l\u2019inflation.\n\nLe DPB estime que ce programme co\u00fbtera 9 036 millions de dollars sur une p\u00e9riode de cinq exercices financiers et qu\u2019il profitera \u00e0 1 425 000 personnes en 2022 2023, nombre qui passera \u00e0 5 894 000 d\u2019ici 2026 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Act to implement certain provisions of the budget tabled in Parliament on April 7, 2022 and other measures","title_fr":"Loi portant ex\u00e9cution de certaines dispositions du budget d\u00e9pos\u00e9 au Parlement le 7 avril 2022 et mettant en oeuvre d\u0027autres mesures","bill_num":"C-19","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/bills--projets-de-loi\/44-1\/C-19","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/legisinfo\/en\/bill\/44-1\/c-19"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/bills--projets-de-loi\/44-1\/C-19","legisinfo":"https:\/\/www.parl.ca\/LegisInfo\/fr\/projet-de-loi\/44-1\/c-19"}},"pivot":{"publication_id":696,"bill_id":340}}],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2223008S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Cost of a Dental Care Plan for Canadians},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2223008S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Cout d\u2019un r\\\u0027{e}gime de soins dentaires pour les Canadiens},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2223-004-C","is_published":"2022-05-18T12:57:09.000000Z","release_date":"2022-05-18T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Research and Comparative Analysis of CIRNAC and ISC","title_fr":"RCAANC et SAC \u2013 Recherche et analyse comparative","internal_id":"RP-2223-004-C","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report presents the PBO\u2019s response to a request by the Standing Committee on Indigenous and Northern Affairs to conduct research and comparative analysis on the Estimates of the Department of Crown-Indigenous Relations and Northern Affairs and the Department of Indigenous Services Canada.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente la r\u00e9ponse du DPB \u00e0 la demande du Comit\u00e9 permanent des affaires autochtones et du Nord de r\u00e9aliser une recherche et une analyse comparative sur les budgets des d\u00e9penses du minist\u00e8re des Relations Couronne-Autochtones et des Affaires du Nord et du minist\u00e8re des Services aux Autochtones Canada.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"Over the 2015-2016 to 2022-2023 period there has been a significant increase in the amount of financial resources allocated to providing Indigenous services.","fr":"Au cours de la p\u00e9riode allant 2015-2016 \u00e0 2022-2023, les ressources financi\u00e8res affect\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019offre de services aux Autochtones ont beaucoup augment\u00e9."}},{"content":{"en":"This increase in expenditure did not result in a commensurate increase in the ability of the organizations to achieve the targets that they had set for themselves.","fr":"Cette augmentation des d\u00e9penses ne s\u2019est pas traduite par une augmentation proportionnelle de la capacit\u00e9 des organisations \u00e0 atteindre les objectifs qu\u2019elles s\u2019\u00e9taient fix\u00e9s."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on the qualitative review the ability of the organizations to achieve the targets that they have specified has declined.","fr":"Selon l\u2019examen qualitatif, la capacit\u00e9 des organisations \u00e0 atteindre les objectifs qu\u2019elles se sont fix\u00e9s a diminu\u00e9."}}]},"updated_at":"2022-05-18T12:57:09.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2223-004-C--research-comparative-analysis-cirnac-isc--rcaanc-sac-recherche-analyse-comparative","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-004-C--research-comparative-analysis-cirnac-isc--rcaanc-sac-recherche-analyse-comparative","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2223-004-C--research-comparative-analysis-cirnac-isc--rcaanc-sac-recherche-analyse-comparative"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-004-C--research-comparative-analysis-cirnac-isc--rcaanc-sac-recherche-analyse-comparative","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2223-004-C--research-comparative-analysis-cirnac-isc--rcaanc-sac-recherche-analyse-comparative"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4dd5db44bd0d5ddc57fd166053a5ee6703753a32baa02d6906a3082c84b23a38"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/7ff3bd4c9e80b5b2a10657d51c9435d186920531d139f383e8f93cfbf2d4fa6c"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/76607580a2d5e0a44ae1b99e1fa64ab9fea515426bf3d2052d087bf626a1567d","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e0e16da5c0f9c78f3cce3b29dc90064a2187d2c5872489bfcccd9e429e489f64","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cd5c1d82373118c2e21a68440f22609f563afcaf71670bd71eb3bf76b2f122fb","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f0b3c4d33738d49b512eea1b1cfc6fd4e97ffbbb5d91d72f9a273ae9c8a9f5bb","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2779f8423f18b384f6b2cd207b6c20871e7be3afcca7f6d380b679ded361f563","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b9285e81a20730cbd50da2c1532a85b91ca4f27c5af192daf8d1870d0e3059c7","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ed6d661320021623da564cf1b82c8d84cdd25cc81ed9aefe9846a65e9cddc104","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/cde41d721602ae4debe76841d728dc0802de313ef97be30ce4602580bccabe5c"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/1f2a8ad86c177c8e09c4e42472b74bcadf6e18a3c67990761dc171f5e8b617c7","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bf90f5724a6e6512dd3b8125885df0961f1942ddaf6f7248f2dbe7ab42ecb840","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/59a66218fccc91543764f57d2bfc71a98491b70a9462ef08982f7be3ab993b42","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a04c3620c5c60ae8916e4edb453ba130b3019526b43c23c580cf31c50e3e8f5e","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bff3c263e382e7b23b758eee6c5e16ede347fa25f23fbbffa95f41dc053a1bdf","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7d42e373c697b2b010c95f5dd93d57c3a258f552115357cc5f6b18ecbbc39cd7","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d48d5d1bc2d6e033b0502b58ed5b5d0697493a27ed61b1a458a6cd9678a22b9c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/56808be1eb8390915f625fdb44182196bd77d4482d1c5a72008acbde2f58bf66"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2223004C,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark},\n title={Research and Comparative Analysis of CIRNAC and ISC},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2223004C,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark},\n title={RCAANC et SAC - Recherche et analyse comparative},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-030-S","is_published":"2022-03-01T14:00:03.000000Z","release_date":"2022-03-01T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Economic and Fiscal Outlook \u2013 March 2022","title_fr":"Perspectives \u00e9conomiques et financi\u00e8res \u2013 Mars 2022","internal_id":"RP-2122-030-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This report provides a baseline projection to help parliamentarians gauge potential economic and fiscal outcomes under current policy settings.","abstract_fr":"Ce rapport pr\u00e9sente des pr\u00e9visions de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence pour aider les parlementaires \u00e0 \u00e9valuer les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques et budg\u00e9taires possibles en vertu des cadres d\u2019action actuels.","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"PBO projects growth in the Canadian economy to rebound sharply in the second quarter and remain robust in the second half of 2022 as the reopening of the economy continues.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la croissance de l\u2019\u00e9conomie canadienne reprendra nettement au cours du deuxi\u00e8me trimestre et qu\u2019elle demeurera solide durant la deuxi\u00e8me moiti\u00e9 de 2022 alors que se poursuit la r\u00e9ouverture progressive de l\u2019\u00e9conomie."}},{"content":{"en":"Based on our outlook for inflation and the output gap, PBO projects that the Bank of Canada will increase its policy interest rate by a cumulative 75 basis points, lifting its rate to 1.00 per cent by the end of 2022.","fr":"En s\u2019appuyant sur ses perspectives concernant l\u2019inflation et l\u2019\u00e9cart de production, le DPB pr\u00e9voit que la Banque du Canada va augmenter son taux directeur de 75 points de base cumulatifs, relevant le taux \u00e0 1 % d\u2019ici la fin de 2022."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO projects a budget deficit of $139.8 billion (5.6 per cent of GDP) in 2021-22 and $47.9 billion (1.8 per cent of GDP) in 2022-23. We project the federal debt-to-GDP ratio to peak at 47.7 per cent in 2021-22 and then gradually decline over the medium term to 42.3 per cent.","fr":"Le DPB pr\u00e9voit un d\u00e9ficit budg\u00e9taire de 139,8 milliards de dollars en 2021-2022 (5,6 % du PIB) et de 47,9 milliards de dollars en 2022-2023, soit 1,8 % du PIB. Le ratio de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale au PIB devrait atteindre un sommet \u00e0 47,7 % du PIB en 2021-2022 avant de revenir progressivement \u00e0 moyen terme \u00e0 42,3 %."}},{"content":{"en":"Due to low interest rates, the cost of servicing the federal debt reached its lowest recorded level in 2020-21 of 7.2 per cent of tax revenues. While interest rates are projected to rise, the debt service ratio will remain low, reaching 11.5 per cent of tax revenues over the medium term.","fr":"\u00c9tant donn\u00e9 les faibles taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, le co\u00fbt de service de la dette f\u00e9d\u00e9rale a atteint son niveau le plus bas enregistr\u00e9 en 2020-2021, \u00e0 7,2 % des recettes fiscales. Malgr\u00e9 la hausse anticip\u00e9e des taux d\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat, le ratio du service de la dette du gouvernement demeurera bas, atteignant 11,5 % des recettes fiscales \u00e0 moyen terme."}}]},"updated_at":"2022-03-01T14:00:03.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2122-030-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2022","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-030-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-030-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2022"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-030-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2022","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-030-S--economic-fiscal-outlook-march-2022--perspectives-economiques-financieres-mars-2022"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/3b26ede6fae896559139165f58afe8e6bf10ca44163553a90673a2a202748f9b"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/ce266b874d5cf5681fc702ab435a15c3c5d220171125b8351c1ad6451d5665fc"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/adad829cca697f0c4c01bfc56c21242a1dc12f688663fc0c3908c990f335e1f8","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7280200957304b941e0e9011a9bcbfce3a44857dd754d179c0c181510426b924","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d4f43663ae762caa859a06ffaec35e55cff64724a49af75c7b6b63221ae89a99","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/32d182a695a4a33e141d2c9d2c7cf497e370a3c6774d9f7bc19e44adeea3c0d2","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/152810610eb1b2c1567c437df5e8429c3d3a840f5c3306f302f031eb9476d576","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/5a62e91991aa8a240d5b65e6cff55c7d7d0312103bcb0df4cf94b7ac0d0d19a9","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ca5d1a67a614892f90f33d231548f7e94524c24bf0fea1227fdb8228467088d4","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/07797ba08dc2b3c77a49bf89ac8eb690f32cd1f10de694767fce8f1f853cdd82"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6da24b5271909c06c819dbb56e2ef3d689d8d0ebd56ebf951356e09a63f19502","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e4727c7519d9e95edb531319af7ee5916ad89394e7ea6f5a4db90dfd9745386c","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/126ed143c863b1a2c8a83b72f79e6463b5e0fef81479cf16f9293f003e05a23a","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/687dd5d99ac9d127d8226bf86f1d0c3cbfa222416b749d7cb31d42fa5428ebb1","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7640d17462dd1a6607140ceab75103832587a70d1e9ee3d7dc571f3fad141aee","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/0d15b7bbcb508c547f55240af627127e1dbc89c50752f3d988a7d7c546b082be","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/19126bb571aade4c047d611e196e589cf85c986fb7b04cadb68f40d971faa89a","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6bf5bf0d768ead3b26017514afef4c804fba4a57bbc2faf673e1ac6ac8950ba8"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122030S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Duncan, Krista and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben and Sourang, Diarra and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Economic and Fiscal Outlook - March 2022},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122030S,\n author={Nahornick, Nora and Nicol, Caroline and Stanton, Jason and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Duncan, Krista and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben and Sourang, Diarra and Vanderwees, Kaitlyn},\n title={Perspectives \\\u0027{e}conomiques et financi\\`{e}res - Mars 2022},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2022,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-025-S","is_published":"2021-12-17T14:00:11.000000Z","release_date":"2021-12-17T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Fiscal Analysis of Proposed Premium Reduction for Mortgage Insurance","title_fr":"Analyse financi\u00e8re du projet de baisse des primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat hypoth\u00e9caire","internal_id":"RP-2122-025-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This note provides fiscal analysis of the Government\u2019s proposal to reduce mortgage insurance premiums collected by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).","abstract_fr":"La pr\u00e9sente note fournit une analyse financi\u00e8re de la proposition du gouvernement de r\u00e9duire les primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat hypoth\u00e9caire per\u00e7ues par la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d\u2019hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement (SCHL).","highlights":[{"content":{"en":"The Liberal Party of Canada\u2019s 2021 electoral platform proposed a 25% decrease in the mortgage insurance premiums charged by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC) while also increasing maximum insurable sale price to $1.25 million, which is to subsequently be indexed to inflation.","fr":"Dans sa plateforme \u00e9lectorale de 2021, le Parti lib\u00e9ral du Canada a propos\u00e9 de r\u00e9duire de 25 % les primes d\u2019assurance pr\u00eat hypoth\u00e9caire exig\u00e9es par la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 canadienne d\u2019hypoth\u00e8ques et de logement (SCHL) tout en portant \u00e0 1,25 million de dollars le prix de vente maximum assurable, montant qui doit \u00eatre index\u00e9 \u00e0 l\u2019inflation par la suite."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO analysis finds that the cost of this measure will be $1.4 billion over five fiscal years.","fr":"D\u2019apr\u00e8s l\u2019analyse du DPB, cette mesure co\u00fbtera 1,4 milliards de dollars sur cinq ans."}},{"content":{"en":"PBO estimates that this measure would provide the average home buyer a one-time savings of $5,341 in 2022-2023, increasing to $5,863 in 2026-2027.","fr":"Le DPB \u00e9value \u00e0 5 341 $ l\u2019\u00e9conomie ponctuelle que pourrait r\u00e9aliser l\u2019acheteur moyen en 2022-2023, \u00e9conomie qui passerait \u00e0 5 863 $ en 2026-2027."}},{"content":{"en":"Having considered alternative scenarios PBO does not anticipate that CMHC will be able to increase the number of homes it insures or its market share to the point where the policy would be revenue neutral.","fr":"Ayant examin\u00e9 d\u2019autres sc\u00e9narios, le DPB ne croit pas que la SCHL pourra augmenter le nombre des maisons qu\u2019elle assure ou sa part de march\u00e9 au point de compenser l\u2019incidence de la politique sur les recettes."}}]},"updated_at":"2021-12-17T14:00:11.000000Z","type":"RP","slug":"RP-2122-025-S--fiscal-analysis-proposed-premium-reduction-mortgage-insurance--analyse-financiere-projet-baisse-primes-assurance-pret-hypothecaire","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-025-S--fiscal-analysis-proposed-premium-reduction-mortgage-insurance--analyse-financiere-projet-baisse-primes-assurance-pret-hypothecaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/RP-2122-025-S--fiscal-analysis-proposed-premium-reduction-mortgage-insurance--analyse-financiere-projet-baisse-primes-assurance-pret-hypothecaire"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-025-S--fiscal-analysis-proposed-premium-reduction-mortgage-insurance--analyse-financiere-projet-baisse-primes-assurance-pret-hypothecaire","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/RP-2122-025-S--fiscal-analysis-proposed-premium-reduction-mortgage-insurance--analyse-financiere-projet-baisse-primes-assurance-pret-hypothecaire"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/4128f9f35f024e7208563dca798e36747e1b71ebff32fb19a1942c30479f67bc"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/dc73e38003a4644ceace8a57262d3612a082889b20b9ecac89d3f567d89f16f7"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/660bd4a342a2cbaec72bafa495a7df578d545cf825b38b4b15a33e480a28ac65","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/94ed0ececa9e5396572e36bed35889d347c00f646491856076a7f7033f6e78d7","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/11ebdbd6ba313a6ac68e5be3b773aadd2ed0e391217e5ec3ab14e9a45e1466b6","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/dd27ca3e19d9f8b22583ee4569745be2e68d794ee598ab82834ccf28e3171c28","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d552b6566e701b200903f76cbb2fe4ee756fc1fc130207a811846c1d108ea619","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f231446ae5fa8114906f5a9eb4e3dedd31cb12f9446f9f6cd60a114503cb453f","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/68154d627c7afb037a54330ddccaad129b7aae3f4cf459670bd0d3b3ad510acf","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b13bf224f0bdd99697e143aa655c669caf2c51cfb3d409ef75fbf84a68be3399"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/ea94dbb57d0cc0a31e7407993bd73afe58bfe98f4db8cc37ffaaa17226d7ea01","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/062da5fe15ad378d61fa78b5e6e719653786dbca3c7d653064b1744104b33c01","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/913500b876abca9614f867c6f0ec90c02209cd5161fb024550eb20d222aa51ec","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/bd4d676e6c578253a33d1b7b9dae4be92a58507e230c7258ad286ed70057ec83","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/8ecbaaddbcadbcc61a43aa3cdc981d71ec09cd624811e99b9a2f4c2da2260908","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7a96e491837057abcd48d0522adb7bb79d7a8303719384266b5afed6f6537710","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/890ce5de788ca5ed07beac3f0d0c198067b6fa84338df95a5b0d1e57871115b7","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/803d45216752ac5245fbda3b8ecaab59b52c39f7891594f7c25a96a0b6ac13ea"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-RP2122025S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Fiscal Analysis of Proposed Premium Reduction for Mortgage Insurance},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122025S,\n author={Cl\\\u0027{e}ophat, R\\\u0027{e}gine and Creighton, Mark and Perrault, Louis},\n title={Analyse financi\\`{e}re du projet de baisse des primes d\u2019assurance pr\\^{e}t hypoth\\\u0027{e}caire},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"RP-2122-016-S","is_published":"2021-08-16T13:00:03.000000Z","release_date":"2021-08-16T13:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"2021 Election Proposal Costing Baseline","title_fr":"Co\u00fbt des mesures propos\u00e9es pendant la campagne \u00e9lectorale de 2021 : pr\u00e9vision de 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author={Grinshpoon, Kristina and Nicol, Caroline and Behrend, Robert and Bergeron, \\\u0027{E}tienne and Creighton, Mark and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben},\n title={2021 Election Proposal Costing Baseline},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2122016S,\n author={Grinshpoon, Kristina and Nicol, Caroline and Behrend, Robert and Bergeron, \\\u0027{E}tienne and Creighton, Mark and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l and MacPhee, Sarah and Michalyshyn, Katarina and Segel-Brown, Ben},\n title={Cout des mesures propos\\\u0027{e}es pendant la campagne \\\u0027{e}lectorale de 2021 : pr\\\u0027{e}vision de r\\\u0027{e}f\\\u0027{e}rence},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n 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author={Grinshpoon, Kristina and Nicol, Caroline and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Bergeron, \\\u0027{E}tienne and Creighton, Mark and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l and MacPhee, Sarah and Mohamed Ahmed, Salma and Nahornick, Nora and Segel-Brown, Ben and Wodrich, Nigel},\n title={Pre-Budget Outlook},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-RP2021046S,\n author={Grinshpoon, Kristina and Nicol, Caroline and Ammar, Nasreddine and Behrend, Robert and Bergeron, \\\u0027{E}tienne and Creighton, Mark and Elmarzougui, Eskandar and Forsyth, Jamie and Giswold, Jill and Liberge-Simard, Rapha\\\u0022{e}l and MacPhee, Sarah and Mohamed Ahmed, Salma and Nahornick, Nora and Segel-Brown, Ben and Wodrich, Nigel},\n title={Perspectives pr\\\u0027{e}budg\\\u0027{e}taires},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2021-064-M","is_published":"2021-02-09T14:00:12.000000Z","release_date":"2021-02-09T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Financial support for training 4,000 personal support workers","title_fr":"Aide financi\u00e8re pour la formation de 4 000 pr\u00e9pos\u00e9s aux b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires","internal_id":"LEG-2021-064-M","metadata":{"abstract_en":"The Government of Canada proposes to spend $38.5 million over 2 years to train 4,000 personal support workers through a 6-week accelerated online program and an accompanying 4-month internship.","abstract_fr":"Le gouvernement du Canada propose de d\u00e9penser 38,5 millions de dollars sur deux ans pour assurer la formation de 4 000 pr\u00e9pos\u00e9s aux b\u00e9n\u00e9ficiaires dans le cadre d\u2019un programme de formation acc\u00e9l\u00e9r\u00e9e en ligne de six semaines assorties d\u2019un stage de quatre 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author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Financial support for training 4,000 personal support workers},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2021064M,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Aide financi\\`{e}re pour la formation de 4 000 pr\\\u0027{e}pos\\\u0027{e}s aux b\\\u0027{e}n\\\u0027{e}ficiaires},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2021,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}} {"id":"LEG-2021-050-S","is_published":"2021-01-26T20:16:02.000000Z","release_date":"2020-12-16T14:00:00.000000Z","title_en":"Supporting Jobs and Safe Operations of Junior Mining Companies","title_fr":"Appuyer les emplois et les activit\u00e9s s\u00e9curitaires dans le secteur des petites soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u2019exploration mini\u00e8re","internal_id":"LEG-2021-050-S","metadata":{"abstract_en":"This policy extends the period that junior mining exploration companies and other issuers of flow through shares (FTS) have to spend the capital raised through the use of FTS agreements by an additional 12 months. This policy applies to FTS agreements that were entered into to fund Canadian exploration expenditures (CEE) using the general rule after March 2018 and before the end of 2020 or, in the case of the look-back rule, in 2019 and 2020. The policy provides an additional 12 months for firms to incur eligible CEE before losing the tax benefits tied to the FTS or having to pay fines associated with failing to incur expenses within the time frame specified by the agreement.\n\nPBO estimates that the net cost of the policy will be $32.5 million from 2019-2020 to 2021-2022.","abstract_fr":"La pr\u00e9sente politique vise \u00e0 prolonger de 12 mois le d\u00e9lai accord\u00e9 aux petites soci\u00e9t\u00e9s d\u2019exploration mini\u00e8re et aux autres \u00e9metteurs d\u2019actions accr\u00e9ditives (AA) pour d\u00e9penser le capital lev\u00e9 au titre de conventions d\u2019\u00e9mission d\u2019AA. Elle s\u2019applique aux conventions conclues pour financer les frais d\u2019exploration au Canada (FEC) en vertu de la r\u00e8gle g\u00e9n\u00e9rale apr\u00e8s mars 2018 et avant la fin de 2020 ou en vertu de la r\u00e8gle du retour en arri\u00e8re en 2019 et en 2020. Elle accorde aux soci\u00e9t\u00e9s 12 mois de plus pour engager les FEC admissibles avant de perdre les avantages fiscaux associ\u00e9s aux AA ou de payer les amendes impos\u00e9es faute d\u2019avoir engag\u00e9 les frais dans le d\u00e9lai prescrit dans la convention.\n\nLe DPB estime le co\u00fbt net total de cette politique \u00e0 32,5 millions de dollars de 2019-2020 \u00e0 2021-2022.","highlights":null},"updated_at":"2021-01-26T20:16:02.000000Z","type":"LEG","slug":"LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","permalinks":{"en":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/en\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere"},"fr":{"website":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere","preview":"https:\/\/www.pbo-dpb.ca\/fr\/publications\/LEG-2021-050-S--supporting-jobs-safe-operations-junior-mining-companies--appuyer-emplois-activites-securitaires-dans-secteur-petites-societes-exploration-miniere"}},"artifacts":{"main":{"en":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/07653c68604e3c2f1bc209718422185253df3c566899b84bb927339f37923828"},"fr":{"public":"https:\/\/distribution-a617274656661637473.pbo-dpb.ca\/3a57a883c6f90b5df1a6472184a40c6fab8d9fda888cfdaed5727be7753de2f0"}}},"coverpages":{"distribution":{"fr":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/c5199a0dd5d8ada8cf24e64a702460ce2aaa58b9","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/e38ca6314d74a3f543bf1662be68a0f87d39b87a","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/6414d0fddb32548727f865e5968ec47cdb4896c3","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7db2bf0713c61475b834684141b4d6e94bc2361b","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3f853d1b1d049a9e99352749c939a6cf00ed7799","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a0d742763b40959de803ee2af7a13c673c640179","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/f990497966cc64a4fc0350de8a137d27ef00f7a9","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b14111a8ae882167a993a6ea121dc0bf0a8ebd80"},"en":{"small":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/51256997cffc4d59d9951a28670bcae69a34205c","large":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/2847298fbf7170693aded7c08d498cea3649abbb","h150_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/aa46d9eddd42b08f3995542c483ce7df070d00e2","h150_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/3ff7957e7d2da5ac7ed862277142d95b94f8b59c","h300_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/a04706f375c9032bc7743087ea8ee8e2b0361c72","h300_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/d2353c1cebcdcd3071561ab93ae7f2f81a09d9e9","h600_png_optimized":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/b22f2d55b389cdac76056cf9bd444685aba3e86c","h600_webp":"https:\/\/distribution-i696d61676573.pbo-dpb.ca\/7ba44080d71b1cb2122269a36e0f7a2236d53f3f"}}},"bills":[],"bibtex":{"en":"@techreport{PBO-LEG2021050S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Supporting Jobs and Safe Operations of Junior Mining Companies},\n institution={The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}","fr":"@techreport{DPB-LEG2021050S,\n author={Creighton, Mark},\n title={Appuyer les emplois et les activit\\\u0027{e}s s\\\u0027{e}curitaires dans le secteur des petites soci\\\u0027{e}t\\\u0027{e}s d\u2019exploration mini\\`{e}re},\n institution={Bureau du directeur parlementaire du budget},\n year=2020,\n \n address = \u0022Ottawa, ON\u0022\n}"}}