The Canada Disability Benefit: Model and Scenarios
Published on November 16, 2023
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This report presents the PBO’s microsimulation model to estimate the cost of the Canada Disability Benefit. The model can accommodate many different design elements of the announced benefit. In addition, the report explores the cost of three hypothetical implementations of the Canada Disability Benefit.
Communications
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Due to the lack of basic information in legislation, most parameters are still unknown, leading to cost estimates that vary widely. Across the three scenarios we examined, the cost of the CDB program could total between $2.1 billion and $20.1 billion in the first full fiscal year of implementation. Leaving virtually all parameters of such an important program to be determined solely by Cabinet, rather than Parliament, is surprising.
Yves
Giroux
Parliamentary Budget Officer
Parliamentary Budget Officer